ONE Fight Night 10 Predictions

ONE Fight Night 10 Predictions

Douglas Vegas Bets|
May 05, 2023|

A massive trilogy in combat sports goes down at ONE Fight Night 10 as Demetrious Johnson -175 takes on Adriano Moraes +145 to settle the score in their Flyweight title bout. This card features plenty of unique combat action, including Muay Thai sensation Rodtang Jitmuangnon -1100, taking on Edgar Tabares +700. This card features some fun bouts, and I gave my picks and predictions for each of them.

Odds provided by accurate as of 5/5/2023 10:00 AM EST

Demetrious Johnson -175 vs. Adriano Moraes +145

This fight may be the last time we see one of the best ever, and it is in a very high-stakes fight. Demetrious Johnson overcame adversity to come back and finish Moraes in their last fight after being finished in their first match; in this stage of his career, his striking remains sharp, although he has been hittable and has not used his grappling as often. Adriano Moraes is massive for the division and uses his size well to control distance early in the fight, although he fades in the later rounds.

This is a close fight, and even with Johnson getting the win last time, he was hurt early so at these odds, I will take Moraes to land early and finish the fight.

Pick: Moraes


Rodtang Jitmuangnon -1100 vs. Edgar Tabares +700

Huge fight in the ONE Muay Thai division here that features one of the biggest names in the sport. Rodtang Jitmuangnon has become a viral sensation with his granite chin and hard kicks, which he has used to dominate the ONE Muay Thai scene so far. Edgar Tabares makes his ONE debut here with a lengthy background in striking combat, including a taekwondo base.

I've got Rodtang here as he is at this number for a reason having a massive advantage in experience, although I am not sure there is any value in betting on him at this number.

Pick: Jitmuangnon

Mikey Musumeci -475 vs. Osamah Almarwai +325

Very interesting grappling match here. Mikey Musumeci has been a fun character to watch as he has become a staple of ONE grappling in his three wins in three appearances. Osamah Almarwai is a former-time IBJJF NOGI world champion making his ONE debut here with an impressive resume.

I like Musumeci as he has excelled in this format and has the experience to back his impressive skills, although this number makes me tempted to bet on the other side.

Pick: Musumeci


Stamp Fairtex -280 vs. Alyse Anderson +220

Good matchup of finishers here in the title picture at Strawweight. Stamp Fairtex is a well-rounded finisher with plenty of experience in ONE, as she has been competing under the promotion her whole career. Alyse Anderson comes into this fight having won her last fight by first-round submission, although she has not competed with the same level of competition as Fairtex.

I'll pick Fairtex here as she should have the advantage in the striking and can compete in the grappling.

Pick: Fairtex

Roberto Soldic -525 vs. Zebaztian Kadestam +400

Hard hitters collide in this matchup that is not expected to go the distance. Roberto Soldic is a knockout artist with an impressive resume that includes a win over UFC contender Dricus Du Plessis. Zebeztian Kadestam is a powerful kickboxer who has competed in the promotion for a long time; he is coming off two straight first-round knockouts.

I've got Soldic to finish this fight by knockout, as both men should be swinging hard, but Soldic is a level above when it comes to skill and durability.

Pick: Soldic


Sage Northcutt -160 vs. Ahmed Mutjaba +130

The return of a familiar face starts off the main card here. Sage Northcutt is back after taking some time to recover and build his game; he was once a top prospect with a solid start in the UFC, although he has not responded well to adversity. Ahmed Mutjaba is a finisher with both knockout power and a solid submission game, although he is not used to going very far into fights, with many of his ending in round one.

I'll pick Northcutt as his skills should be far ahead here, and he could have used the time off to improve further, although it is hard to put money on him as I feel he is fighting above his natural weight, and his durability is a concern.

Pick: Northcutt

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