Douglas Vegas Bets

Somehow this matchup of highly ranked Flyweight finishers between Matheus Nicolau and Brandon Royval finds itself on the prelims of this week's card from Kansas City, headlined by Max Holloway vs. Arnold Allen. 

## This bout is contested at 125Ib Flyweight.

Royval enters this contest as the #4 ranked Flyweight in the world with a record of 14-6-0. Nicolau is ranked one spot behind Royval at #5 with a record of 19-2-1.

![Brandon-Royval-UFC-Fight-Night.webp](https://imagedelivery.net/kd_oB-9dZCrENaJzp7HSCA/b99ddfb5-1242-4a9f-cc1a-883a6c318c00/public "Brandon Royval during his fight vs. Brandon Moreno. Credits to: Zuffa LLC via Getty Images")

Brandon Royval came into the UFC on fire after being known for his exciting fights in the LFA; he finished his first two UFC fights by submission over Tim Elliot and Kai Kara-France, which set him up for a title eliminator against Brandon Moreno, which he lost due to injury. 

Royval has currently won two straight fights to get himself back on track with a decision over Rogerio Bontorin and a submission against Matt Schnell in the first round his last time out. 

With a 4-2 record, including three submission wins in his exciting UFC run, it is expected that Royval will once again be hunting the finish as he searches for his first UFC title opportunity. 

![Matheus-Nicolau.webp](https://imagedelivery.net/kd_oB-9dZCrENaJzp7HSCA/e92043df-9453-43bd-7665-7cdeac784f00/public " Matheus Nicolau lands a left hand vs. Manel Kape. Credit to: Jeff Bottari Zuffa LLC via Getty Images")

Matheus Nicolau joined the UFC in 2016 after competing on The Ultimate Fighter Brazil season four. After winning his first three fights, he suffered a knockout loss to Dustin Ortiz but has bounced back from that with six straight wins.

In those six fights, Nicolau has earned two finish victories, most recently with a knockout over Matt Schnell. He also holds a win over the highly touted Manel Kape in a close decision. 

With an impressive UFC record of 9-1, Nicolau will look to continue his winning streak this weekend and cement himself as a title challenger in the Flyweight division. 

## Current Odds: Brandon Royval +143, Matheus Nicolau -185

**Odds provided by Stake.com accurate as of 1:00 PM EST 4/10/2023**

From a betting perspective, there has been some early action on the Nicolau side, which I agree with, as I also played him early to get the reduced price. I still agree with him being the side to play, as Royval plays a risky game in his fights while Nicolau is much more measured, which should help him control this matchup. 

[DougLasVegasBets.net](https://douglasvegasbets.net) Play: Matheus Nicolau -185

Sleeper Fight of the Week: Brandon Royval vs. Matheus Nicolau

The UFC heads to sunny Tampa, Florida for an action-packed fight night from the Amalie Arena headlined by Welterweight contenders Colby Covington and Joaquin Buckley going head to head. I went over that fight and every other matchup on the card to give my predictions and best bets so let's get into it.

**Odds provided by Duelbits accurate as of 12/12/2024**

## Colby Covington +215 vs. Joaquin Buckley -278

Short notice swap added some chaos to this Welterweight main event. Colby Covington looks to get back on track here after failing for a third time to capture the title last year when he lost to Leon Edwards in a rough performance where he was unable to push his usual pace. However, at his best, he has shown some of the best cardio and wrestling in the UFC. Joaquin Buckley has been on a roll since moving down in weight with his most recent win being a knockout against Stephen Thompson where he showed his explosive power although he was outstruck by Thompson for most of the fight.

It's tough to back Covington with his recent performance and layoff but I'll pick him at this price against a much less proven opponent and I'll bet the over as Covington has proven durable with his main path to victory also being a decision.

Prediction: Covington by Decision

## Cub Swanson +132 vs. Billy Quarantillo -161

Two men known for putting on must-see action collide here in the co-main event at Featherweight. Cub Swanson is a slick striker with crisp and powerful boxing that he has used to go to close decisions against solid and younger opponents in his last two fights. Billy Quarantillo is a high pace striker with great cardio and a solid ground game although he is very hittable and coming off a rough loss to Youssef Zalal.

I lean towards Swanson here as I feel he is the more effective striker who has proven to still have some left in the tank.

Prediction: Swanson by Split-Decision

## Manel Kape -370 vs. Bruno Silva +280

Flyweights looking to enter the title conversation in a division desperate for a contender clash here. Manel Kape is an explosive counterstriker with good ground skills as well my only issue with his game is he is very hesitant at times when I feel if he was more aggressive he would have success. Bruno Silva gets a big fight here after finishing his last four opponents when it seemed like he was on the verge of being cut after not getting his hand raised through three fights with the promotion.

I'm taking Kape here as I give him the edge wherever the fight may take place and he is very difficult to finish which has proven to be Silva's path to victory.

Prediction: Kape by Decision

## Dustin Jacoby +245 vs. Vitor Petrino -313

Two men looking to get back in the win column after rough performances clash here at Light Heavyweight. Dustin Jacoby is a solid kickboxer with good volume although his durability has been an issue in recent fights with Alonzo Menifield knocking him down several times and Dominick Reyes knocking him out in the first round. Vitor Petrino is an athletic and powerful guy although he has shown some technical deficiencies that make me hesitate before getting excited about him.

I'll go with Petrino here as he has the explosive power to finish this fight on the feet along with a significant advantage if the fight hits the ground.

Prediction: Petrino by 1st Round Submission

## Daniel Marcos -208 vs. Adrian Yanez +165

Bantamweight strikers square off here in what should be a fun matchup. Daniel Marcos is an unbeaten striker who has consistently improved over his time with the UFC showing a career-best form against John Castaneda his last time out. Adrian Yanez is a good boxer coming off a strong bounce-back performance after several tough outcomes when he stepped up in competition.

I like Marcos here as he is the more diverse striker who's easier to trust from a defense and durability standpoint.

Prediction: Marcos by 3rd Round TKO

## Navajo Stirling -769 vs. Tuco Tokkos +500

An intriguing Light Heavyweight prospect makes his debut here in the main card opener. Navajo Stirling enters this one off an impressive win on this season of Dana White's Contender Series where the City Kickboxing product moved to five wins with no losses showing his striking skills are already at UFC level with very little in cage time. Tuco Tokkos looks to bounce back after an unsuccessful debut where he was submitted showing against Oumar Sy although he has had some solid wins in the past like a finish over former PFL fighter Ty Flores.

This seems like a setup fight to get Stirling a win and maybe a nice highlight which I expect him to get by cruising through Tokkos here who is not on his level of striking.

Prediction: Stirling by 1st Round KO

## Michael Johnson -208 vs. Ottman Azaitar +165

Knockout punchers collide here in this Lightweight matchup. Michael Johnson is a veteran with fast hands although he has become known for his inconsistency with some performances having him look like a world-beater and others seeing him finished out of nowhere. Ottman Azaitar is a big knockout puncher although his last few fights have shown he is not much else as he has lacked speed and technique resulting in two first-round knockout losses.

I'll pick Johnson here as his speed advantage will be massive although I would advise against laying this price on him based on his age and history.

Prediction: Johnson by 2nd Round TKO

## Drakkar Klose +320 vs. Joel Alvarez -435

Lightweights just outside of the rankings face off here in a pivotal clash. Drakkar Klose is a well-rounded fighter with a strong ground game and basic striking skills although he does look stiff in the stand up and his durability is a concern. Joel Alvarez is a huge finisher with dangerous punching power that helped him become the first man to finish Elves Brenner in his last fight and a nasty submission game that he used to finish Marc Diakiese after hurting him.

I like Alvarez to get another finish here as he has big power and Klose reacts poorly to big punches which I believe Alvarez will capitalize on early.

Prediction: Alvarez by 1st Round KO (Best Bet)

## Sean Woodson -159 vs. Fernando Padilla +129

Tall and long Featherweights collide in this semi-mirror matchup. Sean Woodson is a freakishly tall fighter for this weight and he uses his length well to keep opponents away with his straight shots although his durability is questionable and Alex Caceres gave him trouble when blitzing in. Fernando Padilla is a dangerous and durable fighter with knockout power that he showed against Julian Erosa and submission skills that he showed in his last fight against Luis Pajuelo.

I'll take Padilla as the underdog here mainly because he has all the finishing upside with him having never been finished and Woodson having been submitted by Erosa and hurt badly by Luis Saldana.

Prediction: Padilla by 2nd Round TKO

## Miles Johns +205 vs. Felipe Lima -256

Bantamweights looking to keep their momentum square off here. Miles Johns is a stocky wrestler with solid power in his hands who comes in on a four-fight unbeaten streak with all wins coming by decision. Felipe Lima impressed many when he came in for his UFC debut and showed urgency in the third round of a close fight helping him secure the submission finish over Muhammad Naimov who had previously never been stopped before.

I lean towards Lima here as I feel he will be the more active fighter on the feet with an advantage on the ground as well.

Prediction: Lima by Decision

## Miranda Maverick -556 vs. Jamey-Lyn Horth +390

Flyweights looking to build moment go head to head here. Miranda Maverick has shown the potential to be one of the best in the division with her strong wrestling game and improving striking although she has had issues stringing together consistent performances. Jamey-Lyn Horth enters this one having had two close fights to start her UFC career where she showed a very basic skillset and failed to separate herself.

I don't see Horth being able to keep this one competitive as Maverick is just on a much higher level than her and still improving at just twenty-seven years old.

Prediction: Maverick by Decision

## Davey Grant -106 vs. Ramon Taveras -114

Veteran and prospect square off at Bantamweight in this solid prelim matchup. Davey Grant is a tough-as-nails striker who has earned some gritty wins and proven he can hang with up-and-comers like he did against Daniel Marcos in their close fight. Ramon Taveras is a powerful puncher coming off a wild debut where he won a close decision after hurting and dropping Serhiy Sidey several times over three rounds.

I lean towards Taveras here as he is the younger and more powerful guy.

Prediction: Taveras by 1st Round TKO

UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley Odds Breakdown

UFC Fight Night Covington vs. Buckley goes down tomorrow night from the Amalie Arena in Tampa, Florida. Here are the results from today's weigh-ins.

## Main Card, 10 PM EST

**Welterweight:** Colby Covington (171) vs. Joaquin Buckley (171)

**Featherweight:** Cub Swanson (146) vs. Billy Quarantillo (146)

**Flyweight:** Manel Kape (125) vs. Bruno SIlva (126)

**Light Heavyweight:** Dustin Jacoby (205.5) vs. Vitor Petrino (204.5)

**Bantamweight:** Daniel Marcos (136) vs. Adrian Yanez (136)

**Light Heavyweight:** Navajo Stirling (206) vs. Tuco Tokkos (206)

## Prelims, 7 PM EST

**Lightweight:** Ottman Azaitar (156) vs. Michael Johnson (156)

**Lightweight:** Joel Alvarez (156) vs. Drakkar Klose (156)

**Featherweight:** Fernando Padilla (145.5) vs. Sean Woodson (145.5)

**Featherweight:** Miles Johns (146) vs. Felipe Lima (146)

**Flyweight:** Jamey-Lyn Horth (126) vs. Miranda Maverick (126)

**Bantamweight:** Davey Grant (136) vs. Ramon Taveras (136)

**Strawweight:** Josefine Knutsson (116) vs. Piera Rodriguez (116)

UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley Weigh-In Results

After saying he was planning a move up to Lightweight earlier in the week, Ilia Topuria's head coach Jorge Climent has now also stated that the plan is to move up and vacate the Featherweight title rather than defend it in what was expected to be a rematch with the former champion Alexander Volkanovski.

Topuria has targeted Charles Oliveira for his return in April or May although his coach also threw the name Dustin Poirier out as a potential opponent. Poirier has shown some interest having shared a post about the matchup on his X account.

![image_2024-12-12_101113425.jpg](https://imagedelivery.net/kd_oB-9dZCrENaJzp7HSCA/32f5e2ba-c886-48ed-311b-29089de2e300/public "Dustin Poirier's X Account sharing a post about a fight with Ilia Topuria")

Coach Jorge Climent stated to Submission Radio that the reason for the move was due to an increasingly difficult weight cut, with Topuria weighing around 190 lbs outside of camp.

![download (8) (1).jpg](https://imagedelivery.net/kd_oB-9dZCrENaJzp7HSCA/36a73b17-fafb-4dd3-2cd1-a817d7ff9300/public "Ilia Topuria lands a right hand against Max Holloway at UFC 308. Credit: AP Photo/ Altaf Qadri")

Topuria will end his time as Featherweight champion with one title defense coming against Max Holloway at UFC 308 where Topuria won via knockout. He won the title at UFC 298 earlier this year with a knockout win over Alexander Volkanovski.

What do you think of this move from Topuria? Let us know in the comments.

Ilia Topuria Planning Full Time Move to Lightweight.

It was a fantastic performance from the UFC Flyweight champion Alexandre Pantoja as he defended his title with a second-round submission win over Kai Asakura at UFC 310.

## Result: Alexandre Pantoja def. Kai Asakura via 2nd Round Submission/Rear-Naked-Choke (2:05)

From the very beginning of the fight, Pantoja was putting pressure on getting right in the face of Asakura, who nearly landed a flying knee very early but ended up on his back for most of the first round. The second round saw more pressure from Panoja, who eventually jumped on the back and quickly locked up the choke that ended the fight.


>"That's the UFC level" - Alexandre Pantoja

What did you think of Pantoja's performance? Let us know in the comments.

Alexandre Pantoja Dominates Kai Asakura at UFC 310 to Defend Title

In a battle of undefeated Welterweights, Shavkat Rakhomonov came out on top after five rounds against Ian Machado Garry in the UFC 310 co-main event.

## Result: Shavkat Rakhmonov def. Ian Machado Garry via Unanimous Decision (48-47 x 3)

The first few rounds saw a lot of clinching, with very few significant strikes landing, although it was clear Rakhmonov was getting the better of the exchanges. The third round saw Garry have success striking from range, landing a lot of hard kicks on Rakhmonov's legs and body. In the fourth round, Rakhmonov secured a takedown for the first time in the fight, where he would go on to control most of the round and land some shots from the top. The final round saw Garry take the back and nearly lock in a rear naked choke several times before Rakhmonov escaped and forced a clinch until the final bell.


>"Belal, come here and face off" - Shavkat Rakhmonov

What did you think of the fight? Let us know in the comments.

Shavkat Rakhmonov Wins Close Fight With Ian Garry at UFC 310

It was a controversial decision in the rematch between top-ranked Heavyweights as Ciryl Gane got the split-decision victory over Alexander Volkov on the main card of UFC 310.

## Result: Ciryl Gane def. Alexander Volkov via Split-Decision (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

The first round saw back-and-forth action, with each man having some striking success and getting some time on top, although some submission attempts may have swung the round to Gane. Early in the second round, Volkov landed a huge spinning back fist that rocked Gane in the standout moment of a relatively close round. The final round saw Volkov take top position after Gane attempted a kimura and refused to let go, seemingly costing him the fight.


>"I am not happy with this fight" - Ciryl Gane

What did you think of the judging? Let us know in the comments.

Ciryl Gane Wins Controversial Decision at UFC 310

It was announced on the broadcast of UFC 310 that the headliners for UFC 312 from Sydney, Australia, will be a Middleweight title fight between Dricus Du Plessis and Sean Strickland in a rematch of their split decision clash from UFC 297. The co-main event will be a Strawweight title fight between Zhang Weili and undefeated Tatiana Suarez.

This will be the second title defense for Dricus Du Plessis, who submitted Israel Adesanya in Australia with a rear naked choke in the fourth round of his last fight. Sean Strickland enters this one off a split-decision win over former title challenger Paulo Costa, which was enough to earn him a rematch here, with the first fight being so close.

As for the other title fight on the card, Zhang Weili will look to continue to dominate the division, with her last defense coming against Yan Xioanan at UFC 300. She will take on the undefeated Tatiana Suarez, who earned this shot with a second-round submission of former champion Jessica Andrade.

What do you think of these matchups? Let us know in the comments!

UFC 312 Main and Co-Main Event Confirmed

The UFC holds its final PPV card of the year this weekend from the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, headlined by Flyweight champion Alexandre Pantoja defending his title against Japanese newcomer Kai Asakura along with a Welterweight Co-Main featuring undefeated stars Shavkat Rakhmonov and Ian Garry going head to head. I went over that matchup and every other fight on this stacked card to give my predictions and best bets, so let's get into it.

**Odds provided by DuelBits accurate as of 12/2/2024**

## Alexandre Pantoja -263 vs. Kai Asakura +210

The Flyweight title is on the line in our main event as a new challenger arrives from a different organization. Alexandre Pantoja has dominated the division for years with a ridiculous amount of wins against top ten opponents, having used his insane pressure mixed with world-class grappling and a granite chin to break every fighter across from him. Kai Asakura joins the UFC as the Rizin champion known for his exciting style and dangerous knockout power, although he has lost when facing UFC-caliber opposition before, like Manel Kape and Kyoji Horiguchi.

I like Pantoja here as he is the much superior grappler with the defensive skills and durability to avoid allowing the big shots from Asakura to change the fight.

Prediction: Pantoja by 2nd Round Submission

## Shavkat Rakhmonov -370 vs. Ian Garry +280

Undefeated Welterweights are looking to lay claim to the next shot at Belal Muhammad's title clash in this incredible co-main event matchup. Shavkat Rakhmonov is an absolute monster who is massive for the division while having finished every opponent he has ever faced using his powerful and technical striking along with a deadly submission attack. Ian Garry is a highly skilled striker who showed his well-rounded game last time out as he used his ground game to take down Michael 'Venom' Page.

I'm taking Garry at these odds, as he has the skills to keep Rakhmonov at a distance and win a striking battle while controlling the range using his straight shots.

Prediction: Garry by Decision

## Ciryl Gane -345 vs. Alexander Volkov +265

Rematch here at Heavyweight between two top contenders looking to enter the conversation for a shot at the title. Ciryl Gane is a fast kickboxer with great movement for the division, although his ground game remains a serious concern, with Francis Ngannou taking him down repeatedly and Jon Jones quickly subbing him. Alexander Volkov looks for revenge here after winning his last four fights, with three coming by way of finish, having shown he is more than a striker with a submission win over Tai Tuivasa.

I got Gane getting it done again here, as I see him still being the much cleaner striker, and I don't see the grappling becoming enough of a factor to change the last result.

Prediction: Gane by Decision

## Bryce Mitchell -667 vs. Kron Gracie +450

Featherweight grapplers collide here with classic wrestling, taking on a legendary family member in the Jiu-Jitsu world. Bryce Mitchell returns after a year off since his brutal knockout loss to Josh Emmett, looking to show that his wrestling is still a threat to the top of the division, as he did in his wins over Dan Ige and Edson Barboza. Kron Gracie is an incredibly dangerous submission artist who will look to rebound from back-to-back losses here after struggling to get opponents to the ground with him in his last two games against Charles Jourdain and Cub Swanson.

I'll take the chance on Gracie here as although his last performances don't inspire confidence, Mitchell has a style that will play into Gracie's strengths on the ground, and at this price, I will go with Gracie to catch Mitchell in a submission.

Prediction: Gracie by 1st Round Submission

## Nate Landwehr -143 vs. Doo Ho Choi +117

Featherweights, both known for putting on a show, open the main card here in this explosive matchup. Nate Landwehr is an always entertaining fighter with decent kickboxing and solid submission skills as well, although he is very hittable on the feet, as David Onama and Herbert Burns made him pay for. Doo Ho Choi is a powerful and technical boxer who hasn't been consistently active, but when he does get in the cage, he gets results as he did last time out by becoming just the second man to finish Bill Algeo with strikes. 

I like Choi here as he is the much cleaner and harder-hitting striker who I see hurting Landwehr and avoiding grappling before eventually finding a knockout finish.

Prediction: Choi by 2nd Round KO

## Anthony Smith +260 vs. Dominick Reyes -333

Former title challengers square off here at Light Heavyweight. Anthony Smith is a well-rounded fighter, and he showed solid submission skills against Vitor Petrino, although his cardio and pace have been bad lately, especially in his loss to Roman Dolidze. Dominick Reyes bounced back in his last fight by scoring a first-round knockout over Dustin Jacoby, showing he still has the power that once brought him as close as any man has been to beating Jon Jones before he suffered several knockout losses in a row.

Reyes looked sharp against Jacoby and proved that the power is still in his hands, while I question if there is anything left in Anthony Smith after watching his recent fights, so I'll go with Reyes to get another knockout win here.

Prediction: Reyes by 1st Round TKO

## Vicente Luque +136 vs. Themba Gorimbo -167

Dangerous Welterweights go head to head in this interesting matchup. Vicente Luque is a violent finisher who has struggled recently since a brutal beat down from Geoff Neal, although at his best, he remains a powerful puncher with a nasty submission game. Themba Gorimbo steps in for a big opportunity here after a couple of wins over Ramiz Brahimaj and Niko Price, where he used his decent control grappling to get the decision. 

I've got Luque here, as even in his current form, I believe he should be the favorite over a fighter like Gorimbo, who has not impressed me so far in his UFC run.

Prediction: Luque by 2nd Round TKO

## Movsar Evloev -263 vs. Aljamain Sterling +210

Featherweight grapplers, each near the top of the line for a title shot, face off in this fantastic prelim clash. Movsar Evloev is an undefeated grappler with an impressive skill set, as he has shown in wins over tough opponents like Dan Ige, Diego Lopes, and Arnold Allen. Aljamain Sterling looks to continue his run for a second title here after a win over Calvin Kattar in his debut at this weight proved that his strength and grappling skills translated up a division.

I'm going with Evloev to get another decision here as I see him as the better striker with the grappling skills to nullify Sterling or have his own success there.

Prediction: Evloev by Decision (Best Bet)

## Randy Brown +180 vs. Bryan Battle -227

Must see matchup here between two showmen at Welterweight. Randy Brown is a slick striker with a long reach for the division that he uses well offensively, although his defense leaves much to be desired as his hands are often down, and his chin is not very good. Bryan Battle has begun to make noise in the division as he is coming off what should be four stoppage wins in a row, showing the ability to drown opponents with his pressure on the feet or take them out early like he did with Takashi Sato and Gabe Green.

I like Battle to get another finish here, as he has been on a roll and will not give Brown the space he likes to operate with, which I believe will lead to him landing a big shot and finishing the fight.

Prediction: Battle by 2nd Round TKO

## Chris Weidman -110 vs. Eryk Anders -111

After a last-minute cancellation a few weeks ago, Middleweights will meet now. Chris Weidman is a gritty wrestler who worked hard to return from his gruesome leg injury several years ago. Eryk Anders is a tough veteran who has ground out some tough wins, including his last fight, where he came back against Jamie Pickett.

I'll go with Weidman as his wrestling is still good enough that he will have an advantage or, at the very least, be able to nullify Anders there, and the striking is close, but I give Weidman the edge after seeing Anders dropped in his last fight.

Prediction: Weidman by Decision

## Cody Durden +128 vs. Joshua Van -156

Fun to watch Flyweights, who have been calling each other's names for some time now, square off in this one. Cody Durden is a very active wrestler coming off a finish over Matt Schnell and a loss to Bruno Silva, where he looked incredible until he was finished. Joshua Van is a young up-and-comer with a fun style that has produced some exciting wins, as it did at the Sphere in his wild fight with Edgar Chairez.

I lean towards Van here as although Durden may have a grappling advantage, I give Van the finishing upside, and he is younger, meaning he is more likely to improve his game.

Prediction: Van by 3rd Round TKO

## Michael Chiesa +108 vs. Max Griffin -133

Veteran Welterweights look to show they still have some in the tank here. Michael Chiesa is a strong wrestler who comes in off a first-round finish of Tony Ferguson, which was his first win since early 2021. Max Griffin is a powerful boxer who still has the skills to compete at a high level, as he showed in his loss to the highly touted Michael Morales when he gave the undefeated prospect a difficult time.

I'm taking Griffin here as Chiesa has not looked great since coming back from a major back injury, and Griffin still has the power to make him pay if he moves as slowly as he has looked.

Prediction: Griffin by 1st Round TKO

## Clay Guida +620 vs. Chase Hooper -1000

Lightweight grapplers from different generations battle here early on the prelims. Clay Guida is a gritty veteran with solid wrestling, although it is clear his best days are behind him at age forty-two with twenty-one finish losses. Chase Hooper has looked great since moving up to Lightweight, having shown his grappling skills are good enough and improving his striking enough to drop Viacheslav Borshchev, a credentialed kickboxer.

Hooper should be able to handle this test easily as he has Guida beat everywhere and is much younger and less weathered.

Prediction: Hooper by 2nd Round Submission

## Kennedy Nzechukwu -556 vs. Lukasz Brzeski +390

Heavyweights open the card here. Kennedy Nzechukwu is a big brawler who makes a quick turnaround from his debut at this weight, where he finished Chris Barnett in the first round. Lukasz Brzeski has struggled to find consistent success in the UFC, having lost four of his five fights, having shown lackluster striking skills and not much grappling either.

This should be another easy win for Nzechukwu, although after seeing how he performed as this type of favorite against Ovince St. Preux, I would advise people to avoid adding him to their parlays.

Prediction: Nzechukwu by 1st Round KO

UFC 310 Odds Breakdown

The UFC heads to Macau this weekend, where the Galaxy Arena will host a stacked UFC card headlined by former champions Petr Yan and Deiveson Figueiredo going head-to-head in a massive Bantamweight clash. I went over that matchup and every other fight on this loaded card to give my predictions and best bets, so let's get into it.

**Odds provided by DuelBits accurate as of 11/20/2024**

## Petr Yan -303 vs. Deiveson Figueiredo +235

This week's main event features two of the most violent Bantamweights on the roster as they clash with a potential title opportunity on the line. Petr Yan is one of the most skilled fighters in the sport, with elite boxing and a very underrated ground game that he has used to break fighters like Jose Aldo and Sean O'Malley. Deiveson Figueiredo is a deadly finisher who has been on a fantastic run since moving up in weight, with his most recent win coming over Marlon 'Chito' Vera in a showing where he demonstrated his power by dropping the famously durable Chito in the final round to seal the victory.

I like Yan to get this one done as he has the skills to match Figueiredo everywhere while being much younger and faster. I see Yan building into his game as he usually does and finishing Figueiredo in the championship rounds.

Prediction: Yan by 4th Round TKO

## Xiaonan Yan -208 vs. Tabatha Ricci +165

Top contending Strawweights battle here, looking to earn a shot at Weili Zhang's title. Xiaonan Yan is a long striker with big power for the division, although her grappling has often cost her fights with Carla Esparza and Zhang being able to take her down and hold her whenever they wanted. Tabatha Ricci is a grappler who comes into this one having won six of her last seven, showing much-improved striking compared to early in her career while still having the dangerous ground game she has been known for, although against good defensive wrestlers, she can struggle to get the fight to the floor.

I'm going with Ricci as the underdog here, as she has the grappling skills to give Yan trouble. I also always like betting against fighters coming off a loss in their first title opportunity, as it is often a big letdown, and it is not easy to regain motivation after.

Prediction: Ricci by Decision

## Kenan Song +150 vs. Muslim Salikhov -185

Veteran Welterweight strikers square off here in this fun matchup. Kenan Song is a tough boxer who has proven he still has what it takes to compete at this level with his recent wins over the young Rolando Bedoya and fellow veteran Ricky Glenn. Muslim Salikhov is a unique striker with diverse attacks that include spinning kicks as well as more traditional strikes, although his durability has faded over the years, with two of his last three losses being by knockout.

This is a tough fight to call, as I give Song a slight volume edge and Salikhov a slight power edge. I lean towards Song, with him being the underdog, but this is a pass from me.

Prediction: Song by Split-Decision

## Cong Wang -909 vs. Gabriella Fernandes +560

An exciting prospect gets her next test here at Flyweight. Cong Wang made noise in her debut with a quick highlight knockout to establish she has arrived and is looking to get on the fast track to the title with her past win over current champion Valentina Shevchenko in kickboxing. Gabriella Fernandes is a good kickboxer with solid submissions, although her wrestling has been a weak point in the past.

This is a good matchup for Wang as she is likely to get another chance to show off her credentialed kickboxing skills which will likely result in another strong performance.

Prediction: Wang by 1st Round KO

## Volkan Oezdemir +200 vs. Carlos Ulberg -250

Hard-hitting Light Heavyweights collide in this must-see matchup. Volkan Oezdemir is a veteran known for his deadly power, which he has proven is still there, with his last two wins coming by first-round knockout over Johnny Walker and Bogdan Guskov. Carlos Ulberg is a very clean kickboxer with devastating power that has helped him finish five straight opponents on his six-fight win streak, including a very fast finish over Alonzo Menifield his last time out.

I am very high on Ulberg and believe this is another good matchup for him as he will get the kickboxing match he likes and will have key advantages, including age, height, and reach.

Prediction: Ulberg by 1st Round KO 

## Ozzy Diaz +240 vs. Mingyang Zhang -313

A pair of Light Heavyweight knockout artists looking to make a name for themselves open the main card here. Ozzy Diaz makes his debut here, and excitement can be expected, with his last six fights ending by knockout and his only loss in that time coming to the well-established Joe Pyfer. Mingyan Zhang made a lot of noise early in his UFC career with two straight first-round knockout wins, which extended his finish streak to ten straight, all coming in the first round.

I feel this is a fight that could go either way as both men have big power and have been finished before, so I'll take the sizeable underdog in Diaz to catch Zhang and pull the upset.

Prediction: Diaz by 1st Round KO

## Su Young You -147 vs. Balgyn Jenisuly +120

This matchup will be the Bantamweight final for the Road to UFC. Su Young You is a very creative grappler with dangerous finishing skills on the ground, although he has had some close fights in the tournament, which raises concern. Balgyn Jenisuly is a well-rounded fighter who came back after losing on the last Road to UFC and is now a win away from making good on his second chance.

I lean towards Jenisuly here as I feel he is the more well-rounded fighter who will have striking success and can limit the grappling of You or have success with his own ground game.

Prediction: Jenisuly by Decision

## Kiru Sahota +100 vs. Dong Hoon Choi -122

Here we have the Flyweight final for the Road to UFC. Kiru Sahota is a long fighter for the division who uses his size well to keep opponents at the end of punches and kicks, although his defense also relies on that, with him leaning away and his chin exposed. Dong Hoon Choi comes into this one undefeated, having two fun fights on the Road to UFC so far, although both were close to coming down to split decisions, as he is very willing to take a shot to give one back.

I'll take the much bigger fighter here in Sahota as I see him using his reach to keep Choi on the outside and win the rounds.

Prediction: Sahota by Decision (Best Bet)

## Xiaocan Feng -333 vs. Ming Shi +255

This fight is the Strawweight final in the Road to UFC tournament. Xiaocan Feng is coming into this, having dominated the tournament using her size and skills on the ground, which have looked very impressive. Ming Shi is a decent grappler who is small for even the Strawweight division and has not faced much legit competition.

I like Feng here as she is much bigger and has looked absolutely dominant in this tournament. I believe she will get a finish and make her way to the UFC.

Prediction: Feng by 1st Round TKO

## Carlos Hernandez -200 vs. Nyamjargal Tumendemberel +160

Intriguing matchup here at Flyweight between a tough veteran and an unbeaten newcomer. Carlos Hernandez is a fun fighter who has faced many tough tests thus far in his UFC career, showing a solid ground game and good volume striking, which almost helped him score a huge upset over Rei Tsuruya in his last fight. Nyamjargal Tumendemberel makes his debut here after winning the Road to UFC over a year ago; he is a fast finisher, although he has not faced any UFC-caliber opponents and went to a split decision in his first Road to UFC fight.

I'm going with the more experienced fighter here in Hernandez, as he has been historically durable and will be able to take the fight late, which will give him the advantage.

Prediction: Hernandez by Decision

## Lone'er Kavanagh -357 vs. Jose Ochoa +275

A highly touted prospect makes their UFC debut here at Flyweight. Lone'er Kavanagh is a highly touted prospect coming off an impressive win on Dana White's Contender Series, where he scored a highlight knockout to prove his Cage Warriors success was no fluke. Jose Ochoa is a pure finisher, with all seven of his pro fights ending in him finishing his opponents, six of them by knockout, although with that, he has never seen a third round or truly been tested in a fight yet.

Kavanagh should get this one done, as although Ochoa has proven dangerous, he has yet to do so against anyone nearly as experienced as Kavanagh. 

Prediction: Kavanagh by 3rd Round KO

## Long Xiao -122 vs. Quang Le +100

Bantamweights, each looking for their first UFC victory, go head-to-head in this one. Long Xiao is a fun fighter with a good chin who is willing to exchange punches recklessly, which he has gotten away with against the level of competition he has been competing, although when facing UFC caliber opposition like Cristian Quinonez or Chang Ho Lee, he has lost. Quang Le got a tough first assignment in the UFC against Chris Guttierez after coming up through the LFA, where he competed with and had success against solid competition, winning all seven fights with the promotion with his strong striking and submission skills.

I'll go with Le here as he has been tested against much tougher competition throughout his career, and I also feel he has better striking defense while both have power.

Prediction: Le by 3rd Round TKO

## Maheshate Hayisaer -204 vs. Nikolas Motta +165

Veteran strikers open the card here at Lightweight. Maheshate Hayisaer is a solid boxer with a powerful counter right hand, and he showed off with his win over Steve Garcia, which has aged well. Nikolas Motta is a tough striker coming off a big upset where he looked fantastic against Tom Nolan, although his wrestling is not very good, as Trey Ogden was able to hold him down with ease.

I lean toward Motta here, as his wrestling has been his weak point, and Hayisaer won't take advantage of that while being the lower-volume striker. Give me the underdog in a close fight where either man can land a knockout blow at any point.

Prediction: Motta by 2nd Round KO

UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo Odds Breakdown

It was all Jon Jones from start to finish in the UFC 309 Main Event as the Heavyweight Champion defended his title with a knockout victory over Stipe Miocic.

## Result: Jon Jones def. Stipe Miocic via 3rd Round TKO (4:29)

The first round saw Jones land a nice trip and follow up with devastating ground and pound that Miocic seemingly had no answer for. The second saw Jones control the striking with nasty body kicks and solid boxing. The third round saw more domination from Jones until he landed a beautiful spinning kick to the body, sending Miocic crumbling to the ground to end the fight.


>"If everything goes right, maybe we'll give you guys what you want to see" - Jon Jones

What do you think should be next for Jones? Let us know in the comments!