UFC 289 Predictions

UFC 289 Predictions

Douglas Vegas Bets|
June 06, 2023|

The UFC returns to the great white north this week with pay-per-view action headlined by Amanda Nunes -323 taking on Irene Aldana +275 from Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada. This card also features a highly anticipated Lightweight showdown in the co-main event between former champion Charles Oliveira +129 and Beneil Dariush -145. I gave out all my predictions and bets for the entire card, so let’s get into it.

Odds Provided by Stake.com Accurate as of 6/6/2023 7:00 AM EST

Amanda Nunes -323 vs. Irene Aldana +275

The Women’s Bantamweight title is on the line in our main event. Amanda Nunes has shown that she is at the top of women’s MMA in every department with power in her hands and kicks to go with a dominant ground game. Irene Aldana is a solid boxer with good power, although she has been beaten in the physicality department and was out-struck by Holly Holm.

I understand many having the urge to go against Nunes again, with her having shown less dominance of late, but I still believe she should win this matchup as she has the striking and grappling advantage.

Pick: Nunes O/U: Over 2.5


Charles Oliveira +129 vs. Beneil Dariush -145

Explosive Lightweight action here that could determine the next challenger for the belt. Charles Oliveira is an all-action high-pace brawler with very high-level BJJ, which often deters opponents from attacking on the ground after hurting him. Beneil Dariush has worked his way to the top of the division using his high-level wrestling game and powerful striking, although I have slight concerns about his durability.

I really like Dariush here as he has the perfect skill set to match up with Oliveira as he can hurt him in the striking and has the ground game to compete with him and even win in the grappling exchanges.

Pick: Dariush O/U: Under 2.5

Mike Malott -213 vs. Adam Fugitt +185

A Canadian Welterweight gets a chance to shine here on the main card. Mike Malott has shown to be a quick finisher, powerful boxing, and a solid submission game, although he has rarely gone past the first round leaving many questions. Adam Fugitt comes into this matchup fresh off a huge knockout as an underdog, although I believe his best work is done with his wrestling, where he has been able to takedown each of his UFC opponents.

This fight is sure to produce violence, and Malott could win early, but I believe if this fight gets into the later stages, it will be Fugitt who finds the finish, so I will bet his rounds 2 and 3 props.

Pick: Fugitt O/U: Under 2.5


Dan Ige -238 vs. Nate Landwehr +210

Featherweight firefight here between veterans who are no strangers to bonus-winning performances. Dan Ige is a powerful boxer who has proven nearly impossible to finish. Nate Landwehr is a high pace action fighter with a tricky grappling game, although he lacks power in his hands, and I do not trust his durability.

I’ve got Ige here, and I think he finishes the fight by knockout as Landwehr’s last two losses were by first-round knockout, and he was nearly finished against David Onama as well, and none of those opponents were on the level of Ige, who’s last two wins have come by knockout.

Pick: Ige O/U: Under 2.5

Eryk Anders +128 vs. Marc-Andre Barriault -145

A Middleweight matchup featuring one of several Canadians on the card takes place to open the pay-per-view. Eryk Anders is a powerful puncher with a solid wrestling game, although he is rather low-volume and tends to fade as fights go on. Marc-Andre Barriault is a well-rounded fighter with a high pace which he can often use to take over a fight late.

I’ll take Barriault here as I think he has a large cardio and output advantage that he will use to dominate the later stages of this fight.

Pick: Barriault O/U: Over 2.5


Nassourdine Imavov -145 vs. Chris Curtis +128

Fun Middleweight clash here in the featured prelim. Nassourdine Imavov is a sharp striker who has struggled against higher volume and has concerns in the cardio department, although he is also very big for the weight class and knows how to use that size. Chris Curtis is a great counter striker with powerful hands, and he showed in his last fight against Kelvin Gastelum he can go at a very high pace, although he has had trouble tracking down opponents before.

I’m picking Imavov here as I think he has a stylistic edge with his footwork and ability to control distance.

Pick: Imavov O/U: Over 2.5

Jasmine Jasudavicius +255 vs. Miranda Maverick -294

Flyweight grapplers collide here, looking to establish position in the division. Jasmine Jasudavicius is a grappler with a long reach, although she struggles when matched up with opponents who are comfortable grappling with her. Miranda Maverick has shown high-level potential at times in her UFC run, as she has a very high-level wrestling game and an aggressive striking attack that she can use to get in range, as she did against Sabina Mazo.

I’ve used Maverick as a piece in several parlays as I have trouble seeing how she loses this matchup being the much better wrestler, and despite the reach disadvantage, I give her the striking edge as well.

Pick: Maverick O/U: Over 2.5


Aiemann Zahabi +108 vs. Aorqileng -122

Intriguing matchup here at Bantamweight featuring a familiar name in Canadian MMA. Aiemann Zahabi has bounced back well after a tough start to his UFC run showing solid counterstriking and a decent grappling game. Aorqileng is a decent striker, although he struggles to find the finish and often slows as the fight goes on.

This fight is tough to call, and I expect it to be a close decision either way, but I’ll give the slight edge to Aorqileng.

Pick: Aorqileng O/U: Over 2.5

Blake Bilder -233 vs. Kyle Nelson +200

Solid clash here at Featherweight between two men at very different stages in their careers. Blake Bilder is undefeated as a high pace, well-rounded fighter, although he has often been hurt even in his wins. Kyle Nelson is a gritty wrestler with some decent power in his hands but lacks in cardio and pace.

I’ll take Bilder here as a pick because I give him a cardio and pace edge, but I can’t bet him at this price because he has not shown enough to justify this number.

Pick: Bilder O/U: Over 2.5


David Dvorak -312 vs. Steve Erceg +265

Veteran and newcomer clash here early on the card at Flyweight. David Dvorak is a good wrestler who has recently competed with some of the best in the division, although it did not go his way. Steve Erceg is a submission artist who has had an impressive run so far, finishing five opponents in the first round.

I’ll pick Dvorak here as I give him the edge in the striking and wrestling, so I expect him to defend the submissions and win the minutes.

Pick: Dvorak O/U: Over 2.5

Diana Belbita -104 vs. Maria Oliveira -109

Strawweights looking to get back into the win column open card here. Diana Belbita is an aggressive striker who works the body well with a long reach, and she showed solid takedown defense in her last fight. Maria Oliveira is a striker with good movement, although she lacks much pop to her punches and struggled greatly when put on her back by Vanessa Demopoulos.

I’ll lean with Belbita here as I think she can use her length to maintain distance and win a close decision.

Pick: Belbita O/U: Over 2.5


DougLasVegasBets.net Plays

Beneil Dariush

Diana Belbita

Dan Ige by KO/TKO

Adam Fugitt Round 2/ Round 3

Chris Curtis vs Nassourdine Imavov Over 2.5 + Amanda Nunes

Dan Ige + Beneil Dariush

Miranda Maverick + Beniel Dariush

Miranda Maverick + Dan Ige

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