Odds Provided by Stake.com Accurate as of 9/6/2023 12:50 PM EST

Israel Adesanya -588 vs. Sean Strickland +480

Our main event is a Middleweight title fight that should feature fast-paced action for as long as it lasts. Israel Adesanya is one of the best strikers in the sport, with phenomenal timing and a wide variety of kicks in his arsenal; he is coming off his spectacular knockout over Alex Pereira in their rematch earlier this year. Sean Strickland is a good pressure fighter with solid boxing behind a great jab; his cardio is also very good, with him being able to set a hard pace for five rounds, as he has shown against fighters like Jared Cannonier.

This is a good matchup for Adesanya, which is why he is such a large favorite; I see him picking Strickland apart for a decision win.

Pick: Adesanya O/U: Over 4.5 -109

Tai Tuivasa +180 vs. Alexander Volkov -208

A hometown hero gets the co-main spotlight here in this Heavyweight brawl. Tai Tuivasa is a brawler in every sense of the term; he has surprisingly fast hands, and his chin is rock solid, making him a must-watch anytime he fights. Alexander Volkov is a tall kickboxer who has competed at the top of the division for a long time, showing good hands and the ability to keep range.

I'm taking Tuivasa at these odds, as he has the power and durability to get the win at any point against an aging Volkov.

Pick: Tuivasa O/U: Under 1.5 -115*

Manel Kape -370 vs. Felipe dos Santos +310

Short notice replacement steps in to keep a Flyweight star on the card. Manel Kape has made a name for himself with a flashy style and big power for the division; his volume is low at times, but his game is very well-rounded. Felipe dos Santos steps in an undefeated prospect out of the famous Chute Boxe gym that features fighters like Charles Oliveira, and he fights precisely how you would expect a fighter out of that gym to fight, crazy pace and pressure all fight long.

Kape should win this one, as he has proven he is a top contender, and dos Santos has some work to do on his game.

Pick: Kape O/U: Under 2.5 -185

Justin Tafa -213 vs. Austen Lane +185

A Heavyweight matchup cut short the first time around gets another try here. Justin Tafa is a hard-hitting kickboxer who trusts his chin; he throws hard kicks that have knocked opponents out through the guard. Austen Lane has little MMA experience, but he is a decent athlete; his durability hasn't been great, with his losses all being first-round knockouts.

I had Tafa by knockout in the first matchup, and my opinion is largely unchanged with him now fighting at home.

Pick: Tafa O/U: Under 1.5 -222

Tyson Pedro -103 vs. Anton Turkalj -110

Intriguing matchup here at Light Heavyweight. Tyson Pedro looks to bounce back after a tough showing against Modestas Bukauskas; he is very dangerous in round one but has no wins outside that, which is concerning. Anton Turkalj has been fun to watch; if nothing else, he is durable and has decent grappling, although his striking is poor, particularly on defense.

I'll take Pedro here as I give him the advantage wherever this fight goes early, and he should be able to get an early finish or a decision if his cardio holds up.

Pick: Pedro O/U: Under 2.5 -213

Carlos Ulberg -263 vs. Da Un Jung +230

Light Heavyweight kickboxers clash here in this high-stakes matchup. Carlos Ulberg is a very powerful kickboxer who has been dominant of late with several quick knockouts over durable opponents. Da Un Jung is a big and powerful kickboxer; he has lost his last two, with him having been a significant favorite in his last one against Devin Clark, where he was outpaced.

I've backed Ulberg at some steep prices before, and I'll pick him again here as I see him getting a knockout early in this one.

Pick: Ulberg O/U: Under 1.5 -108

Jack Jenkins -204 vs. Chepe Mariscal +180

It's a fun battle here at Featherweight featuring one of several Australian fighters on the card. Jack Jenkins has shown some good things in his UFC run with his now infamous leg kicks and a decent offensive wrestling game; others can hold him down when wrestled, as was shown against Jamall Emmers late in his last fight. Chepe Mariscal returns to his proper weight class after debuting at Lightweight against Trevor Peek in an epic fight where he dominated the larger man.

I'll lean with Mariscal here as this fight is closer than the odds indicate, with Mariscal having several possible paths to victory.

Pick: Mariscal O/U: Over 2.5 -204

Jamie Mullarkey -250 vs. John Makdessi +220

Veteran Lightweight strikers go at it here. Jamie Mullarkey is a good kickboxer with lots of movement and high volume, although I don't trust his durability with him being knocked out several times. John Makdessi is a powerful and durable striker, although he can sometimes be low-volume, waiting for his opponent to give him an opportunity rather than pressing for one.

I'm picking Mullarkey, but at this price, with his durability concerns, this fight will be a pass from me, betting-wise.

Pick: Mullarkey O/U: Over 2.5 -222

Nasrat Haqparast -435 vs. Landon Quinones +360

This is a fun clash of Lightweights who like to put on a show. Nasrat Haqparast is a durable striker with nice hands and lots of forward pressure. Landon Quinones comes in off The Ultimate Fighter, where he looked bad on the show, losing early to Jason Knight in an early submission, but he is a dangerous striker when he gets going.

I'll pick Haqparast here as he is much more proven at this level, but these odds are too wide to do much with, as Quinones will be able to show his striking here.

Pick: Haqparast O/U: Over 2.5 -143

Blood Diamond +250 vs. Charlie Radtke -294

Interesting clash at Welterweight here early on the card. Blood Diamond has had a tough start to his UFC run; he is a dangerous kickboxer known for training with Middleweight champion Israel Adesanya. Charlie Radtke is a decent fighter with a well-rounded game, making his debut here, and I have questions about his durability, with him having been finished several times already in his career.

I'll go with Blood Diamond at this price, as he has power, and I think he can defend the takedowns enough to make this fight interesting.

Pick: Diamond O/U: Under 2.5 -189

Shane Young -169 vs. Gabriel Miranda +149

Two Featherweights looking for a big win, go at it here. Shane Young enters this looking to break a three-fight skid; he is a durable striker. Gabriel Miranda is a solid submission grappler who was given a nightmare matchup in his debut against Benoit Saint-Denis; even before that matchup, his striking has yet to look good to me.

I've got Young here as if he can avoid getting submitted, he should out-strike Miranda.

Pick: Young O/U: Over 1.5 -196

Kevin Jousset -147 vs. Kiefer Crosbie +130

It's a good battle here to kick things off between debuting Welterweights. Kevon Jousset is a tough kickboxer with a well-rounded offensive attack. Kiefer Crosbie is a tough brawler with solid experience outside of the UFC; he goes hard for the finish and is not afraid to get hit.

I like Jousset here as he should be able to keep a higher pace, and I give him the durability edge.

Pick: Jousset O/U: Over 2.5 -109

DougLasVegasBets.net Plays

Tai Tuivasa +180

Tyson Pedro -103

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