Odds provided by Duelbits accurate as of 7/24/2024

Leon Edwards -256 vs. Belal Muhammad +200

Unfinished business will be settled in our Welterweight main event, with the title on the line. Leon Edwards looks to add another title defense to his resume here using his technical kickboxing style and much-improved wrestling defense, which he showed off in the rematch against Kamaru Usman and Colby Covington. Belal Muhammad is an in-your-face pressure fighter with high-output striking that features solid boxing, body kicks, and a strong wrestling attack.

I'm going with Edwards here as he has been more active, is younger, has a striking advantage, and is likely to defend any grappling. I see him countering anything Muhammad may throw at him on the feet and dominating the matchup.

Prediction: Edwards by Decision

Tom Aspinall -357 vs. Curtis Blaydes +275

The title is on the line as these two top Heavyweights rematch after an early end to their first clash. Tom Aspinall is a dominant finisher with incredible hand speed for his size and a strong ground game, having finished all his UFC wins, including six of seven coming in the first round, which does mean we have never seen him in an extended fight. Curtis Blaydes is a strong wrestler who has worked hard to improve his striking over his UFC run, now having real knockout power in his hands, although he has been knocked out several times when facing power punchers.

I see Aspinall's power being too much for Blaydes, who has suffered four knockout losses in the UFC, finishing him early in the fight, although if it extends, I am curious how it will play out, leading me to pass betting on this price.

Prediction: Aspinall by 1st Round KO

Bobby Green -119 vs. Paddy Pimblett -103

Big personalities collide in this fun, Lightweight feature. Bobby Green is a flashy, hands-down boxer with high output that builds as the fight goes on, although he has been dropped and knocked out several times in the last few years, leaving some concern about his durability. Paddy Pimblett is a crafty finisher with a good ground game and some power in his striking, although his defense is not great, having been controlled on the ground for some time by lesser opponents and caught with big shots.

I like Green in this one as he is the much more experienced fighter with clear, striking, and cardio advantages. The only concerns are the grappling and durability.

Prediction: Green by Decision

Christian Leroy Duncan -143 vs. Gregory Rodrigues +116

Middleweights known for their exciting styles square off in this must-see matchup. Christian Leroy Duncan is a very creative striker who uses explosive movements to cover distance, although his grappling could be an issue with him having been easily taken down by Armen Petrosyan, who is not known for his wrestling. Gregory Rodrigues is a dangerous finisher who creates chaos with his striking power and has also shown a very high-level ground game in his win over Denis Tiuliulin, although he has been knocked out several times, which does cause concern about his durability.

I've got Rodrigues in this one. He has a big advantage in grappling, and the pressure he forces on the feet may also give CLD trouble.

Prediction: Rodrigues by 2nd Round Submission

Arnold Allen -244 vs. Giga Chikadze +195

Featherweights square off, looking to work their way into title contention to open the main card. Arnold Allen looks to get back on track here after back-to-back losses to the best in the division, where, despite coming up short, he showed very high-level striking against a legend in Max Holloway and good grappling against a very skilled Movsar Evloev. Giga Chikadze is a skilled kickboxer with lightning-fast kicks, including a signature shot to the liver that he used to finish Cub Swanson quickly, although when pressured like he was by Calvin Kattar, he struggled greatly, getting beat up for most of that fight.

I'm going with Allen here as he is the more active and well-rounded fighter who can replicate the performance of Kattar against Chikadze with his boxing and clinch work.

Prediction: Allen by Decision

Nathaniel Wood -435 vs. Daniel Pineda +320

This is a fantastic matchup at Featherweight between two tough brawlers. Nathaniel Wood is a well-rounded fighter with very fast hands and a good pace, although he is hittable, which has led to him being dropped many times over his career. Daniel Pineda is a tough finisher, with all his career wins coming inside the distance as he loads up with big power shots and has a good submission game that he has used to earn nineteen of his twenty-eight pro wins, although he is older, and his durability may be fading.

I'll take the big underdog shot here on Pineda to get a knockout. Although he is outmatched skill for skill, the odds feel wide for a guy as powerful as Pineda against someone who gets hit as much as Wood.

Prediction: Pineda by 1st Round TKO

Molly McCann -345 vs. Bruna Brasil +265

Strawweight strikers square off in this fun clash. Molly McCann is a fan favorite with a fun style of fast-paced striking, although she has made big improvements to her ground game, which she showed in her recent win over Diana Belbita, where she scored a submission win. Bruna Brasil is a clean kickboxer with good kicks, although she lacks much power behind her shots and struggles with physical fighters.

I've got McCann to get her hand raised here, as she will be the much stronger fighter and the one pushing the pace from the start.

Prediction: McCann by 2nd Round TKO

Caolan Loughran -208 vs. Jake Hadley +165

Bantamweight grapplers are fighting close to home square off here. Caolan Loughran is a stocky wrestler with good ground and pound that he uses to create damage; his striking is somewhat limited but good enough to hold up in bursts. Jake Hadley moves up in weight on short notice here; he is a decent submission grappler, although he can get stuck on the bottom a lot and lacks the wrestling to get it to the ground on his own terms.

I like Loughran here, as he will be the stronger guy controlling the grappling exchanges and doing more damage throughout the fight.

Prediction: Loughran by Decision

Modestas Bukauskas -159 vs. Marcin Prachnio +130

Light Heavyweight strikers go head-to-head in this close matchup. Modestas Bukauskas has been in good form lately, winning four of his last five fights, showing a very effective counter-striking style. Marcin Prachnio is a kickboxer with good leg kicks and solid boxing, although his cardio can sometimes be questionable.

I lean towards Prachnio here as I see him being the one pressing the action and winning the rounds, although Bukauskas is more likely to find the finish.

Prediction: Prachnio by Decision

Oban Elliott +110 vs. Preston Parsons -135

High-pace action is expected in this Welterweight matchup. Oban Elliott is a solid and well-rounded fighter with good volume standing and a ground game that he used to beat Val Woodburn in his UFC debut, although his durability is questionable, and he can be put in bad spots by other grapplers. Preston Parsons is a high-output wrestler with good cardio and improving striking, though he has been finished in the first round twice over his career.

I'm taking Parsons as he is better than Elliott everywhere and will extend this matchup to the later rounds, where his cardio advantage will help him take over.

Prediction: Parsons by Decision

Muhammad Mokaev -154 vs. Manel Kape +125

Top-ranked Flyweights clash here in a fight with massive title implications for the winner. Muhammad Mokaev is an undefeated prospect who has shown a very slick ground game during his time with the UFC, although his striking remains somewhat spazzy, leaving openings against higher-level opponents. Manel Kape is a clean and powerful kickboxer who also has an underrated ground game that he showed against David Dvorak, although he can be hesitant at times, leading to fights being closer than they should be like against Matheus Nicolau.

I've got Kape here. I see him being able to defend the grappling and do more damage with his dangerous striking attack.

Prediction: Kape by Decision

Sam Patterson -435 vs. Kiefer Crosbie +320

Welterweight finishers collide in this fun matchup early on the card. Sam Patterson is a dangerous finisher with power in his hands and a slick submission game that earned him a quick win over Yohan Lainesse his last time out. Kiefer Crosbie is a decent boxer with some power in his hands, although he hasn't had much success at this level and has shown a hole in his grappling.

I see Patterson making quick work of this fight with his massive advantage on the ground, getting an early submission win.

Prediction: Patterson 1st Round Submission

Mick Parkin -286 vs. Lukasz Brzeski +225

Next up are the Heavyweights, who are looking to build momentum. Mick Parkin looks to keep his unbeaten record here with his solid boxing, which he has used to defeat his first three UFC opponents. Lukasz Brzeski will look to build off his first UFC win over Valter Walker here, where he showed some solid striking, although his chin is questionable, and Karl Williams outwrestled him.

I lean towards Parkin here, but the price makes it difficult to play him. Heavyweight has a randomness that leads me to pass betting on this matchup.

Prediction: Parkin by Decision

Shauna Bannon -169 vs. Alice Ardelean +137

Strawweights open the card, looking to make a name for themselves. Shauna Bannon looks to bounce back from a disappointing debut in which Bruna Brasil outstruck her; she has solid striking and can mix in grappling when needed. Alice Ardelean debuts here coming off three first-round finishes that include both knockout and submission wins, showing she is dangerous wherever the fight goes, although it was against very low-level competition, and she has not been tested since she fought Weili Zhang in 2016, when she was submitted.

I'll pick Bannon here as she has an advantage on the ground and can use it to control the fight.

Prediction: Bannon by Decision