The UFC returns to the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas after the week away with a loaded card of PPV action headlined by a Bantamweight title rematch between champion Merab Dvalishvili and Petr Yan. I went over my predictions and bets for the entire card, including my Underdog Best Bet of the Week, so let's get into it.
Odds provided by Duelbits accurate as of 12/2/2025
Two champions rematch here in our Bantamweight main event. Merab Dvalishvili is an active and dominant champion who sets an insane pace with his wrestling attack and ridiculous cardio. Petr Yan is a former champion with an elite boxing game and underrated grappling, though he can be low-output, especially early in fights.
The price is tempting, but I can't go against Merab on his current run, as his combination of wrestling and cardio, along with his improving striking game, makes him nearly unstoppable even for a fighter as skilled as Yan.
Prediction: Dvalishvili by Decision
The much-anticipated Flyweight title fight goes down here. Alexandre Pantoja is a highly aggressive grappler with a nasty submission game, in particular from the back, although he does rely on his strong chin at times. Joshua Van is a young brawler with fantastic boxing and solid takedown defense, with a style that turns up the pressure later in the fight.
I've got Pantoja in this one as he has a massive edge in experience, and his grappling game is something that Van has not felt anything even close to yet in his young career.
Prediction: Pantoja by 1st Round Submission
Top Flyweights square off, looking to make their claim to the next title shot. Brandon Moreno is a former champion with a very well-rounded skillset featuring slick boxing, a solid ground game, and a granite chin. Tatsuro Taira is a phenomenal grappler who has shown clear improvements in his striking in recent outings and is still just twenty-five years old, with main event experience.
I like Taira to get a decision here as the younger fighter who has continued to show improvements between fights and has a difficult grappling game to slow down, although Moreno remains very difficult to finish.
Prediction/Bet: Taira by Decision
Veteran meets prospect here in this Bantamweight clash. Henry Cejudo was once an Olympic-level wrestling champion, and with his unique karate-style striking, he has lost three straight fights since returning from retirement. Payton Talbott is a dangerous, athletic striker who showed improvements in his takedown defense in his last outing against Felipe Lima.
At these odds, I'll go with Cejudo as he has the wrestling to give the still rather inexperienced Talbott trouble, and his style on the feet is tricky to deal with despite his age and recent struggles.
Prediction: Cejudo by Decision
Dangerous Light Heavyweight knockout punchers collide to open the main card here. Jan Blachowicz is a former champion with strong kickboxing skills who is now over forty years old, having had multiple shoulder surgeries. Bogdan Guskov is a big puncher who has finished his last four fights, including a first-round knockout of Nikita Krylov, his last time out.
I'll take Guskov here as he is the younger fighter who has been much more active in recent years and hasn't dealt with the injury history that Blachowicz is trying to come back from.
Prediction: Guskov by Decision
Clash of styles here in the Lightweight featured prelim. Grant Dawson is a strong grappler with very good top control on the ground, which has helped him win six of his last seven fights. Manuel Torres is a wild and dangerous striker who has had all five of his UFC fights end in the first round, with him winning four of those.
I'm picking Dawson as I have a hard time seeing Torres be able to return to his feet if he is taken down, and his reckless style leads me to believe Dawson will get a hold of him.
Prediction: Dawson by 2nd Round Submission
Finishers square off here in this fun Lightweight showdown. Terrance McKinney is a fast finisher with dangerous power in his hands and a strong wrestling game, though his cardio has failed him whenever he reaches the second round. Chris Duncan is a well-rounded and dangerous fighter with good power in his hands and solid wrestling.
I'll take Duncan here as I feel he can avoid the early danger and drag this fight into the later rounds, where he will take over and find a finish.
Prediction: Duncan by 2nd Round TKO
Ranked Flyweights are matched up here, looking to push into the title picture. Maycee Barber is a highly aggressive brawler who returns after a long layoff due to some health issues. Karine Silva is an explosive and dangerous finisher with good submission skills, although questionable cardio.
I lean towards Barber here as she is going to be the higher output and more aggressive fighter, especially in the later rounds.
Prediction: Barber by Decision
Streaking Lightweights collide in this fantastic prelim matchup. Fares Ziam is a tall, long striker who has grown a lot over his time in the UFC and has now won his last five fights. Nazim Sadykhov is a durable and dangerous fighter who has finished all four of his UFC wins inside the distance, and he has shown a great chin.
I like Sadykhov here as he is the more damaging striker who is more likely to mix in grappling and has the finishing upside.
Prediction: Sadykhov by 2nd Round TKO
Interesting matchup here at Middleweight. Marvin Vettori is a durable veteran with solid wrestling and decent boxing, although he has taken a lot of damage and slowed down in recent years. Brunno Ferreira is a wild and dangerous finisher with serious KO power and a sneaky submission game, although he has questionable durability.
I lean towards Vettori here as he has a big experience advantage, and this is a massive step down in competition.
Prediction: Vettori by Decision
Lightweight strikers square off in this must-see matchup. Edson Barboza is a veteran kickboxer with strong low kicks, although he comes in having lost his last two, having a low output in both. Jalin Turner comes out of a brief retirement here as a huge fighter for the division with serious knockout power, although he has lost four of his last five.
I'll go with Turner here as, despite the concerning retirement, he has massive physical advantages in this matchup that can't be ignored.
Prediction: Turner by 1st Round KO
Light Heavyweights looking to establish their place in the division collide here. Ibo Aslan is a dangerous striker who looks to return to the winning column after losing his last two, showing holes in his ground game and output. Iwo Baraniewski is a fast finisher who comes in off this year's Dana White's Contender Series, where he scored a twenty-second knockout.
I'm going with the UFC experience of Aslan here, as although he has had a couple of disappointing outings, we are now getting him as an underdog against a very unproven debutant when he has consistently been favoured throughout his UFC career. With that, Ibo Aslan is this week's Underdog Best Bet of the Week.
Prediction: Aslan by 3rd Round TKO Bet: Aslan MoneyLine
Up-and-coming middleweights face off here early on the card. Mansur Abdul-Malik is a very athletic finisher with good power in his hands and great ground and pound when on top of his opponents, although he still lacks much high-level experience. Antonio Trocoli looks to get his first UFC win here after being finished in his previous two, having failed to mount any significant offence.
Abdul-Malik should handle business here, as he is the much more dangerous and explosive fighter.
Prediction: Abdul-Malik by 2nd Round TKO
Featherweights open the card here with this fun matchup. Muhammad Naimov is a well-rounded fighter with good power in his hands and solid grappling skills. Mairon Santos is a skilled striker with good takedown defense.
I like Santos here as I believe he is the cleaner striker and his takedown defence is strong enough to keep this one on the feet.
Prediction: Santos by Decision