The UFC is back in the Apex this weekend with a solid card of action headlined by former Strawweight title challenger Amanda Lemos taking on fast-rising Virna Jandiroba in the main event. I went over that matchup and every other fight on the main card, so let's get into it.
Odds provided by DuelBits accurate as of 7/19/2024
Strawweights looking to enter the conversation to be next in line for the title will battle it out in our main event. Amanda Lemos is a powerful striker who throws big shots in all fights and also has a solid submission attack; however, she has been controlled on the ground before, as she was much of her last fight against Mackenzie Dern and her title fight with Weili Zhang, Virna Jandiroba is a very strong grappler who has worked to improve her wrestling a lot recently which has helped her dominate three straight matchups including a win over another good wrestler in Loopy Godinez although her striking has remained a weak point throughout her career having struggled when unable to grapple consistently.
I've got Jandiroba here. Although she is at a large striking disadvantage, I see her getting this to the ground early, often with little resistance, and not allowing Lemos back to her feet.
Pick: Jandiroba by Decision
Veterans with plenty left in the tank will go head-to-head in our Middleweight co-main. Brad Tavares has battled with the best the division offers, having had a competitive fight with champion Dricus Du Plessis, showing his solid pace, durability, and overall striking ability to go with his renowned takedown defense. Jun Yong Park has quietly risen the ranks with three finishes in his last four fights, showing a well-rounded game with solid boxing and strong wrestling, although he has been fighting relatively low-level competition.
I'm taking Tavares as the underdog in this one, as I see it as a very close fight. Park is unlikely to succeed with grappling, and the striking is very even, maybe giving Tavares a slight edge.
Pick: Tavares by Decision
Featherweights who like to get into wild firefights clash in what should be an incredible matchup. Steve Garcia is a hard-hitting brawler who enters this one off three straight knockout wins, showing his aggressive style. Seung Woo Choi is a tough veteran who has had some wild fights, including his back-and-forth battle with Mike Trizano, which saw both simultaneously knocked down early, showing he has power, but he is very hittable and has been finished before on several occasions.
I lean towards Garcia to get a knockout as I trust his durability slightly more in what will be a wild matchup where both men are live to get the finish at any point.
Pick: Steve Garcia by 1st Round TKO
Lightweights looking to establish their place in a very deep division square off here. Kurt Holobaugh looks to get back on track after losing his first fight back with the UFC after winning his season of The Ultimate Fighter, where he showed a brawling striking style and some submission skills, finishing two of the three fights on the show via sub. Kayan Kruschewsky is a dangerous finisher looking to get his first UFC win here after drawing a tough debut against Elves Brener, where he was finished in the first round, showing some concerns about his durability, although, outside the UFC, he showed a good finishing ability, having earned many knockouts and submissions, along with solid cardio having gone into a fifth round and scored a finish.
I'll pick Kruschewsky here as I see him as the much more dangerous fighter who will be pushing the pace.
Pick: Kruschewsky by Decision
This is a closely lined matchup between two Flyweights looking to earn their place in the rankings with a win. Cody Durden is a fast-paced wrestler who has proven to be a tough out for anyone in the division, although he has been caught in several submissions throughout his career. Bruno Silva enters this one with three straight finishes, having shown he has real fight-ending power in his hands and that his submission game can also prove dangerous, although he did struggle earlier in his UFC run against stronger grapplers.
I like Durden here as I feel he will win the minutes in this one with his wrestling-heavy attack, although Silva does have the finishing edge, which is a concern.
Pick: Durden by Decision
We have a banger to open the main card as two Featherweights with fan-friendly styles meet in this one. Doo Ho Choi returns once again looking to show off his powerful boxing in the cage once again as he has many times in the past, including his hall-of-fame war with Cub Swanson, where he was able to display his toughness and power against the gritty veteran Swanson despite coming up short in the end. Bill Algeo will look to bounce back here after being stopped by TKO for the first time in his career, the last time out against Kyle Nelson, where he showed that his style of pressure and volume comes with risks as his chin is often very exposed.
I see Choi taking this one as he is the cleaner and harder-hitting striker, which will be a problem for Alego, whose durability may be fading.
Pick: Choi by 2nd Round TKO