Odds provided by Duelbits accurate as of 3/26/2025

Brandon Moreno -233 vs. Steve Erceg +185

Two Flyweights looking to earn another shot at the champion square off in this main event matchup. Brandon Moreno became the champion of his division on two separate occasions, showing a well-rounded skill set that leans on a strong boxing attack and incredible durability. Steve Erceg comes into this having lost two straight, although he did raise his stock by having a close fight with the champion Alexandre Pantoja, where he showed great boxing and high-level grappling skills.

I took Erceg as the underdog here as he has already shown he is skilled enough to compete with the best in the world, and he is likely still improving with his relative lack of experience, while Moreno has been through many tough fights and may have seen his best days.

Prediction: Erceg by Decision

Manuel Torres -110 vs. Drew Dober -111

Tough Lightweight finishers go head-to-head in this can't-miss co-main event. Manuel Torres is an all-offensive fighter with dangerous power and good submission skills, although he is coming off a brutal loss against Ignacio Bahamondes where his defensive issues became very apparent. Drew Dober is a durable knockout puncher who has put on many great fights throughout the years, having always fought tough competition, although he has lost three of his last four fights, including two stoppages.

I lean towards Torres here, as he is the younger fighter with the height and reach advantage along with submission upside in a fight where both men will likely land big shots early.

Prediction: Torres by 1st Round KO

Kelvin Gastelum +250 vs. Joe Pyfer -323

It's a pivotal clash in the Middleweight division, seeing a tough veteran take on a dangerous finisher. Kelvin Gastelum comes back up in weight here and remains a granite-chinned striker who has competed with many of the best in the division over the years. Joe Pyfer is a big and powerful fighter with knockout power in his hands and a dangerous submission game if the fight hits the ground although he did slow down badly after a strong start against Jack Hermansson last time he stepped up in competition.

I like Pyfer to get a decision or submission win here. I feel he will have success striking early and can mix in grappling, as we have seen Gastelum struggle there before against Jack Hermansson and Sean Brady.

Prediction: Pyfer by Decision

Raul Rosas Jr. -417 vs. Vince Morales +310

Another challenge for a young Bantamweight prospect goes down here. Raul Rosas Jr. is a fast-starting grappler with good submission skills in part due to him having very long limbs for the division which he uses to tie up opponents. Vince Morales is a gritty fighter on his second run with the UFC coming off a back-and-forth battle with Elijah Smith, where he nearly secured a choke in the dying seconds before ultimately losing a decision.

I'll take Rosas Jr. to get a submission win here, as he has the skills on the ground to put Morales in bad spots and take advantage of them.

Prediction: Rosas Jr. by 1st Round Submission

David Martinez -400 vs. Saimon Oliveira +295

Bantamweights, both looking to establish themselves, square off in this main card matchup. David Martinez is a powerful, high-volume striker with good takedown defense who makes his debut here. Saimon Oliveria is a dangerous submission grappler looking to pick up his first UFC win after having spent more than two years away since his loss to Daniel Marcos.

I'll go with Martinez here as he should have a significant advantage in the striking and the inactivity from Oliveira is concerning.

Prediction: Martinez by 2nd Round TKO

Ronaldo Rodriguez -159 vs. Kevin Borjas +129

This fun matchup at Flyweight is set to open the main card. Ronaldo Rodriguez is a solid grappler who comes in having won his first two UFC fights, although he struggled at times in both, showing to be very hittable on the feet. Kevin Borjas is a high-pace striker with good power, although his defense is not great striking-wise, and he was controlled a lot on Dana White's Contender Series.

I bet Borjas in this one. He will have a big advantage in striking, especially in terms of punching power, and I don't see Rodriguez getting enough control on the ground to slow him down. With that, Kevin Borjas MoneyLine is the underdog best bet of the week.

Prediction: Borjas by 1st Round KO (Best Bet)

Edgar Chairez -278 vs. CJ Vergara +220

Tough Flyweights go head-to-head in this featured prelim. Edgar Chairez is a durable finisher with solid power in his striking, which he showed against Joshua Van, and a dangerous choke game. CJ Vergara is a solid wrestler who has proven to be a solid test for prospects over the years although he does come in off two straight losses, with the latest being his first career knockout loss.

I'll go with Chairez to find a finish in this one, with him being the much more dangerous and durable fighter with the size advantage.

Prediction: Chairez by 3rd Round Submission

Ateba Gautier -455 vs. Jose Medina +330

Interesting matchup here at Middleweight as both men look for their first UFC win. Ateba Gautier is a powerhouse with plenty of knockouts on his record although he is untested, having not faced any real competition, and in his only fight that went to decision, he lost. Jose Medina is a very durable fighter who hasn't shown much in terms of offensive skillset through his Contender Series fight and UFC debut.

At these odds, I'd take Medina, as his durability will likely drag this fight into deep waters where I don't trust the inexperienced Gautier, especially with these fights taking place at altitude.

Prediction: Medina by 3rd Round Submission

Melquizael Costa +126 vs. Christian Rodriguez -156

Grapplers look to test their skills against one another here at Featherweight. Melquizael Costa is a well-rounded fighter with decent striking and dangerous submissions, as he showed in his recent win over Andre Fili. Christian Rodriguez is a tough fighter with good submission skills and solid boxing, which he has used to turn back several unbeaten prospects, most recently with his impressive win over Austin Bashi.

I'll go with Rodriguez here as I feel he has the skills to match Costa anywhere while being easier to trust from a cardio and durability standpoint.

Prediction: Rodriguez by Decision

Julia Polastri +185 vs. Lupita Godinez -238

Strawweight grapplers face off in this interesting prelim matchup. Julia Polastri is a grappler with good submission skills and solid striking on the feet, where she throws a high volume. Lupita Godniez is a strong wrestler with decent boxing who is looking to bounce back from several close losses to top contenders Mackenzie Dern and Virna Jandiroba.

I like Godinez here as she has flashed the potential to compete with the top of the division with her well-rounded game which I feel is better than Polastri everywhere.

Prediction: Godinez by Decision

Rafa Garcia -500 vs. Vinc Pichel +360

Lightweight veterans square off in this one. Rafa Garcia is a decently well-rounded fighter with solid boxing and grappling, although he has struggled when he doesn't have a clear path to victory. Vinc Pichel is a veteran who has competed in the UFC since 2012 with his strong boxing game and constant pressure, although he is now forty-two years old, and has only fought twice since 2021, losing both times.

I'll go with Garcia, as he should be able to get this to the ground as much as he needs to, and his striking is probably better as well.

Prediction: Garcia by Decision

Jamall Emmers -333 vs. Gabriel Miranda +260

Featherweights looking to bounce back from tough losses go head to head here. Jamall Emmers is a long and skilled boxer with solid power, although his fight IQ is questionable, and he is coming off a first-round knockout loss. Gabriel Miranda is a good submission grappler who has struggled in the UFC, having been finished by Morgan Charriere and Benoit Saint-Denis in lopsided fights.

Emmers should take this one as he has a big advantage in the striking and has the grappling to defend any submission attacks from Miranda.

Prediction: Emmers by Decision

Austin Hubbard +155 vs. Marquel Mederos -196

Lightweights looking to build momentum in a deep division open the card with this one. Austin Hubbard is a solid fighter with a well-rounded game, although he can be taken down and controlled and lacks much finishing threat. Marquel Mederos is a striker who comes in off a debut win over Landon Quinones, where he showed good ability to mix it up, although it was a close fight due to his power disadvantage.

I'll pick Hubbard here as I feel neither man possesses a significant finishing threat, and Hubbard has a more well-rounded skillset and has competed against tougher competition.

Prediction: Hubbard by Decision