UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez Odds Breakdown

UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez Odds Breakdown

Douglas Vegas Bets|
July 10, 2024|

The UFC heads to Denver, Colorado, this weekend with Flyweight contenders Rose Namajunas and Tracy Cortez going head-to-head in the main event from the Ball Arena. I went over that matchup and every other fight on the card to give my predictions and best bets, so let's get into it.

Odds provided by DuelBits accurate as of 7/10/2024

Rose Namajunas -217 vs. Tracy Cortez +175

Flyweights looking to enter the title conversation headline in this high-stakes clash. Rose Namajunas has been a fan favorite for years since her title-winning knockout over Joanna Jedrzejczyk, where she proved her striking was as good as dangerous as anyone in the division; she has since continued to evolve her game, showing solid wrestling while maintaining her striking dominance. Tracy Cortez steps in here in a big jump in competition; she has shown a strong ground game with great wrestling, and in her last outing against Jasmine Jasudavicius, she showed much-improved boxing.

I lean towards the former champ in Namajunas. She has proven that her striking is up there with the best in the world, a step above Cortez, who may have trouble implementing a heavy grappling attack.

Pick: Namajunas by Decision


Santiago Ponzinibbio -196 vs. Muslim Salikhov +160

Veteran Welterweight strikers square off in this one. Santiago Ponzinibbio returns here looking to show he still has something left in the tank; he is a crafty and dangerous striker, although he is less explosive than he once was. Muslim Salikhov is an old kickboxer looking to get back on track after losing three of his last four; he has trouble keeping a high pace but has power in his strikes when he lands.

I'll pick Ponzinibbio here as he has shown that he still has some effective striking tactics that can steal him rounds and do more damage.

Pick: Ponzinibbio by 3rd Round TKO

Gabriel Bonfim -345 vs. Ange Loosa +260

Up-and-coming welterweights look to make a statement in this pivotal matchup. Gabriel Bonfim is a very dangerous submission artist with a nasty choke attack early in fights, although he has shown problems when forced to go deeper in fights like Nicolas Dalby forced him to. Ange Loosa is a stocky, well-rounded fighter with solid power in his hands and a decent ground game that he has used when he has that advantage.

I believe Bonfim will get back on track here and use his dangerous submission game to win, as Loosa has never faced a threat like him on the ground.

Pick: Bonfim by 1st Round Submission


Cody Brundage +141 vs. Abdul Razak Alhassan -175

Middleweight finishers go head to head in this must-see clash. Cody Brundage is a hard-hitting wrestler who has had some inconsistent performances, having been finished three times in the UFC. Abdul Razak Alhassan is a dangerous knockout artist, with all his wins coming inside two rounds; he has developed his wrestling since joining the UFC, but that and his cardio remain issues.

This is a tough fight to trust either guy too much but I'll pick Alhassan to get an early knockout as Brundage can get wild early but if the fight goes past round one Brundage could take over.

Pick: Alhassan by 1st Round KO

Christian Rodriguez -222 vs. Julian Erosa +180

Featherweights known for putting on fun fights face off to open the main card here. Christian Rodriguez has been on the rise of late with impressive victories over Cameron Saaiman and Isaac Dulgarian where he showed his toughness along with a mix of good boxing and a good defensive grappling game. Julian Erosa is a wild brawler with a crazy pace and good submission attack although his durability is a massive concern at this point with him being hurt badly in each of his last three fights.

I'm taking Rodriguez to get a knockout here, as he has solid hands, and Erosa's chin has shown to be a massive issue for him lately.

Pick: Rodriguez by 2nd Round TKO


Drew Dober -110 vs. Jean Silva -111

Lightweight power punchers collide here in this short-notice clash. Drew Dober has as many knockouts as anyone at Lightweight, with big power in his hands and a brawling style with his strong chin. Jean Silva steps up here for his second fight in just a few weeks after knocking out Charles Jourdain at UFC 303, showing his big power very recently, although I still have questions about his ability to go deeper into high-volume fights.

I like Dober here as he is the more natural Lightweight with more experience both going deep in fights and against tough competition.

Pick: Dober by Decision

Luana Santos -385 vs. Mariya Agapova +290

Flyweight grapplers square off in this intriguing matchup. Luana Santos is a solid grappler who has also shown some power in her hands with her early finish of Juliana Miller. Mariya Agapova is a submission artist with an up-and-down run in the UFC, showing issues with her submission defence.

Santos should dominate this matchup as she has clear striking, grappling and cardio advantages.

Pick: Santos 2nd Round Submission


Josh Fremd -111 vs. Andre Petroski -110

Middleweight finishers, looking to bounce back from tough losses, face off in this fun clash. Josh Fremd is a big athletic puncher with decent wrestling, although he has sometimes shown questionable cardio. Andre Petroski is a strong grappler with dangerous chokes early in fights although he doesn't have very good striking and has shown cardio issues in the past.

I lean towards Petroski as he is dangerous when hunting submissions early and although his cardio issues may come into play, Fremd may also be tired late.

Pick: Petroski by 1st Round Submission

Joshua Van -213 vs. Charles Johnson +170

Fan favorite Flyweights square off here. Joshua Van is a young prospect that has caught the eye of many with his powerful striking attack although he has been a bit of a slow starter he has made up for it with strong finishes to all his fights. Charles Johnson is a high volume striker who builds his attack as the fight goes on with his best round often being the third which he usually see's with his impressive durability and lack of finishing threat.

I like Van to win this one by decision. He is the more impactful striker, and I see that swaying the judges' favor in a fight that is likely to go the distance.

Pick: Van by Decision


Montel Jackson -149 vs. Da'Mon Blackshear +121

One of several matchups that came together on short notice goes down here at Bantamweight. Montel Jackson is a very tall fighter for the division, and he uses his length well with powerful straight punches. Da'Mon Blackshear is a tricky grappler who uses his tremendous athleticism to get opponents down and submit them; he has also been working on his striking to round out his game.

I'll take Blackshear as the underdog in this one. He should have a clear advantage in the grappling and has prepared for and beaten a taller fighter before, Jose Johnson.

Pick: Blackshear by Decision

Jasmine Jasudavicius -109 vs. Fatima Kline -112

Short notice debut for a top Flyweight prospect here, and it comes against a tough veteran. Jasmine Jasudavicius is a high pace grappler coming off an amazing performance against Priscila Cachoeira where she showed off her ground and pound. Fatima Kline is a very impressive prospect making her UFC debut on short notice here with a dominant and well rounded attack that includes technical striking and physical grappling.

I lean towards Kline as I believe she can live up to the hype she has and will have a striking edge here with the ability to defend much of the grappling.

Pick: Kline by Decision


Evan Elder vs. Darrius Flowers

A Fun Welterweight fight that was a last-minute addition to the card goes down here. Evan Elder is a tough, high-volume striker coming off two strong showings against Nazim Sadykhov and Genaro Valdez. Darrius Flowers is a decent striker who has been out grappled in each of his UFC fights and also shown questionable cardio.

I like Elder in this one as I see him having a striking and massive cardio advantages.

Pick: Elder by 3rd Round TKO

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