Odds provided by Duelbits accurate as of 10/11/2024

Brandon Royval +230 vs. Tatsuro Taira -294

Flyweights both have their eyes on a shot at the title with a win in this main event clash. Brandon Royval has made a name for himself as one of the most exciting fighters in the UFC as he utilizes his insane cardio to set a wild pace, and his length for the weight class mixed with his ground game makes him very difficult to hold down for anyone other than champion Alexandre Pantoja. Tatsuro Taira has quickly risen as one of the sports' top prospects, having shown an incredible submission game and much improved striking that he used to finish Carlos Hernandez.

I'm taking the dog here in Royval as I see him being able to keep this standing and setting his usual insane pace, which Taira will not be able to match.

Prediction: Brandon Royval by 3rd Round TKO

Brad Tavares +155 vs. Jun Yong Park -192

After a fight week cancellation earlier this year, these two Middleweights finally met in the octagon here. Brad Tavares has fought many of the best in the world on his run, having shown his toughness, solid striking, and very high-level takedown defense. Jun Yong Park is a well-rounded fighter who has used his ground game to submit three of his last four opponents and has a high-paced boxing attack on the feet.

I like Tavares in this one, as he should have the takedown defense to keep this one standing, where he has a more diverse arsenal at his disposal and will not have to fear the power coming back like he has had to in his last few losses.

Prediction: Tavares by Decision

Chidi Njokuani -172 vs. Jared Gooden +141

Power punchers collide in this must-see Welterweight matchup. Chidi Njokuani is a dangerous knockout puncher with several first-round wins, although he has shown his flaws over his last four, struggling when fights are extended or he faces adversity. Jared Gooden is a fun fighter to watch, with powerful boxing, a hands-down, forward-pressure style, and an opportunistic submission game.

I lean towards Gooden here as I see him as the higher-output fighter with better cardio. He will likely take over late in the fight if he gets past round one.

Prediction: Gooden by 3rd Round TKO

Grant Dawson -417 vs. Rafa Garcia +310

Veteran Lightweights square off here. Grant Dawson has shown he is one of the best grapplers in the division with his strong wrestling and ability to control from the back, although his durability will always be a concern now, with him having been knocked out in under a minute in both his career losses. Rafa Garcia has quietly won four of his last five since dropping his first two in the UFC; he has decent boxing and a good ground game, although he struggles when facing other solid grapplers.

This will likely end up being a grappling match, and Dawson has proven he can control other solid grapplers like Joe Solecki, so I'll pick him to have a similar performance here.

Prediction: Dawson by Decision

Daniel Rodriguez -217 vs. Alex Morono +175

Veteran Welterweights, each looking to get back on track, face off in this one. Daniel Rodriguez is a tough boxer with good volume and power, although his ground game isn't the best, as Neil Magny was able to finish him there after tiring him. Alex Morono is a well-rounded veteran with solid skills, although he has always reacted poorly to eating punches, and his cardio is suspect at times, which has cost him several times.

I'll pick Rodriguez here as I see him landing the more damaging shots throughout the fight and eventually overwhelming Morono to find the finish.

Prediction: Rodriguez by 3rd Round KO

Josh Fremd +136 vs. Abdul Razak Alhassan -167

Middleweight finishers go head to head in this explosive clash. Josh Fremd is a big and athletic Middleweight with wild striking and a decent ground game, although his defense has been an issue as he is very willing to take damage. Abdul Razak Alhassan is a powerhouse with insane power in his hands and kicks; his judo background helps him keep fights standing, although, with his power, his cardio and pace often are not the best.

It only takes one mistake against Alhassan, and I believe Fremd will get wild early, and it will cost him with the fight ending in a quick Alhassan finish.

Prediction: Alhassan by 1st Round KO

Jonathan Pearce -185 vs. Pat Sabatini +149

High-level grapplers will square off here at Featherweight. Jonathan Pearce is a very high pace wrestler with wild striking, although his defense, both on the feet and ground, leaves some to be desired. Pat Sabatini is a tremendous grappler who has had some very strong performances in the UFC, although his durability is a concern, as he has suffered two first-round knockout losses in his last three fights.

I lean towards Sabatini here as he is more likely to control the fight on the ground with the submission upside. Pearce not being known for punching power also makes his durability less of a concern.

Prediction: Sabatini by Decision

Dan Argueta +146 vs. Cody Haddon -182

It's a tough test for an impressive prospect here at Bantamweight. Dan Argueta is a relentless wrestler who has had some unfortunate results in the UFC, with a dominant performance against Ronnie Lawrence going down as a no-contest. Cody Haddon makes his debut off Dana White's contender series here, and he impressed many with his clean striking skills and the ground skills to find the submission win over Billy Brand.

I'm picking Argueta here as I believe his pressure and wrestling will give Haddon trouble and lead to a competitive decision.

Prediction: Argueta by Decision

Clayton Carpenter -213 vs. Lucas Rocha +170

Flyweights open the card here in this fun matchup of young fighters. Clayton Carpenter has caught my attention as a real threat in this division with his tremendous grappling skills and unusual power for this weight in his striking. Lucas Rocha is an explosive striker with real knockout power, although he has surrendered a lot of ground control time in several of his wins, allowing multiple opponents to take his back.

I really like Carpenter in this spot, as he is better everywhere, but I expect him to take the path of least resistance with his massive advantage on the ground.

Prediction: Carpenter by 1st Round Submission (Best Bet)