The UFC returns to the Apex this weekend, headlined by a rematch between ranked Middleweights Marvin Vettori and Roman Dolidze. I went over that matchup and every other fight on the card to give my predictions and best bet of the week, so let's get into it.
Odds provided by DuelBits accurate as of 3/12/2025
It's a Middleweight rematch here two years after the initial meeting. Marvin Vettori returns off a long layoff here and is an extremely durable pressure fighter with decent boxing and wrestling, although not much finishing ability. Roman Dolidze is a hard hitter with a tricky submission game, but his volume and cardio have held him back in close fights before, as was the case in the first fight between these two.
I'll go with Vettori here as he is going to be the higher-output fighter, especially in the later rounds and his durability makes it difficult for me to see Dolidze getting a finish.
Prediction: Vettori by Decision
Welterweights known for highlight reel knockouts square off in this co-main event. Elizeu Zaleski is a veteran kickboxer coming off a first-round knockout, showing he's still got it despite being thirty-eight years old. Chidi Njokuani is a very powerful finisher, although when he can't find an early finish, he tends to struggle and often gets finished himself.
I like Zaleski here as he is the more technically sound fighter who has proven he will be able to maintain his output throughout three rounds, unlike Njokuani.
Prediction: Zaleski by 3rd Round TKO
Lightweights looking to build momentum clash here. Alexander Hernandez has flashed serious potential, with big power in his hands and a strong wrestling game, although his cardio has been inconsistent. Kurt Holobaugh is a well-rounded veteran who showed good high-volume striking and grappling on his way to winning his season of The Ultimate Fighter; however, he was outwrestled against Trey Ogden, and he seemingly accepted the bottom position, which is concerning.
I'll pick Hernandez here as he is the much younger guy with more power and better wrestling.
Prediction: Hernandez by Decision
This is a good matchup here in the deep Bantamweight division. Da'Mon Blackshear is a tricky grappler with a strong submission game and good cardio, although Montel Jackson did knock him out badly which is a concern. Cody Gibson is a well-rounded veteran with good boxing and a solid ground game that he showed off in his submission win over Brian Kelleher.
I'm picking Blackshear here as he should have a slight advantage wherever the fight goes although this price is far too much against a solid fighter like Gibson.
Prediction: Blackshear by Decision
Big Swinging Light Heavyweight finishers collide in this one. Diyar Nurgozhay makes his debut here as a powerful knockout artist with a low-volume, stalking style. Brendson Ribeiro enters this one off his first UFC win where he showed his athleticism and explosiveness although his striking defense is a concern.
I'll go with Ribeiro at these odds as he is the bigger fighter who will have a higher output and has experience on the UFC stage.
Prediction: Ribeiro by 2nd Round KO
This is a must-see matchup between two very fun Featherweights. Kevin Vallejos makes his debut here after an impressive win on Dana White's Contender Series, although his loss on the show, which was a back-and-forth war with Jean Silva, may have been even more impressive with what we now know. Seung Woo Choi is a dangerous striker with good power in his hands, although his defense has been an issue, with him having been knocked out in the first round in two of his last three fights.
Vallejos should get a knockout win here as he has shown he has the skills to compete at this level and at his young age he is only going to continue getting better while Choi seems on the way out.
Prediction: Vallejos by 1st Round KO
Hard-hitting Heavyweights face off in this can't-miss clash. Waldo Cortes-Acosta is traditionally a boxer with a clubbing right, but he has shown the ability to lean on a wrestling-heavy gameplan as he did in his last fight against Robelis Despaigne. Ryan Spann moves up in weight here which could help with his durability and cardio issues, to improve on his dangerous style of powerful punches and a strong guillotine choke.
I like Spann here as the underdog as I feel he is the better striker with the submission upside and the move-up could negate his cardio and durability issues. With that, Ryan Spann MoneyLine is this week's underdog best bet of the week.
Prediction: Spann by 1st Round KO (Best Bet)
Bantamweight grapplers are matched up in this one. Su Young You is a solid grappler who comes in after winning the Road to UFC tournament. AJ Cunningham drops two weight classes from his rough UFC debut here where he will look to show his effective grappling skills with good ground and pound and submissions when in control.
I'm picking You here as I feel he has the skills on the ground to negate any danger that Cunningham may possess.
Prediction: You by Decision
Bantamweights looking to make a name for themselves collide in this prelim matchup. Josias Musasa is an undefeated prospect who had knocked out all seven of his opponents before his decision win on Dana White's Contender Series. Carlos Vera is a submission specialist who has never been knocked out before in his pro-MMA career.
These odds are a lot for a debutant with very little experience against an opponent who has never been knocked out and has the submission upside but Musasa should get a win here.
Prediction: Musasa by Decision
Strawweights looking to build off recent victories collide here. Sam Hughes is a gritty wrestler with good cardio although she has struggled against more complete opponents. Stephanie Luciano comes in off a solid UFC debut where she avenged a draw on Dana White's Contender Series with a clear decision where she showed improved grappling defense and was able to take advantage of her striking edge throughout the fight.
I'll take Luciano here as I feel she fixed her cardio and grappling defence issues and should have a clear striking edge in this matchup.
Prediction: Luciano by Decision
Sleeper candidate for fight of the night here at Flyweight. Andre Lima is a very skilled fighter with good kickboxing and grappling, as he showed by wrestling his way to victory against Felipe Dos Santos in his last fight. Daniel Barez is a wild and dangerous fighter with good power for the division and decent submission skills as well although his cardio can fail him as he sometimes pushes too wild a pace.
I'm very high on Lima and expect him to get a finish here as he has every advantage against an opponent who has proven he is not afraid to put himself at risk.
Prediction: Lima by 3rd Round TKO
Bantamweights, each looking to break their losing streaks, square off in this one. Josiane Nunes is a short fighter with a big overhand left. Priscila Cachoeira is a dangerous striker early although she tends to fade late and takes a lot of damage.
I lean towards Nunes here as she has never been finished and will likely be the much fresher fighter in the later rounds.
Prediction: Nunes by Decision
Flyweights looking to gain valuable experience open the card here. Yuneisy Duben shocked the world with a wild first-round knockout win on Dana White's Contender Series, where she was a massive underdog and showed strong and accurate boxing. Carli Judice is a powerful striker for the division who comes in looking to bounce back from two split-decision losses.
I'll go with Judice here as she has faced much better competition in her career and we have only seen Duben face one fighter with any pro MMA experience and she has never gone to decision.
Prediction: Judice by Decision