UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura Odds Breakdown

UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura Odds Breakdown

Douglas Vegas Bets|
March 15, 2024|

The UFC is back and headlined by ranked Heavyweights as Tai Tuivasa -110 takes on Marcin Tybura -110 in the main event from the Apex. I went over every fight on the card and gave my predictions and best bets, so let's get into it.

Odds provided by BetOnline.ag accurate as of 3/14/2024 1:55 PM EST

Tai Tuivasa -110 vs. Marcin Tybura -110

Heavyweights will end off the card in a ranked matchup between finishers looking to re-enter contention. Tai Tuivasa is a heavy-handed boxer with solid volume and strong leg kicks; his problem has been the ground game, where he has been consistently outmatched over his UFC career. Marcin Tybura is a gritty fighter with an ugly style that gets opponents down and wears them out; he has been knocked out several times and is getting up there in age, which is a concern.

I'm picking Tuivasa here as he has much faster hands and will likely be able to score a lot of damage very early on, and I don't trust Tybura to use his grappling well enough to control him.

Pick: Tuivasa O/U: Over 1.5 -145


Bryan Battle -183 vs. Ange Loosa +158

Up-and-coming Welterweights will face off in this fun clash. Bryan Battle continues his run down in weight after winning The Ultimate Fighter at Middleweight with his well-rounded and aggressive finishing style. Ange Loosa returns here off a good showing against Rhys McKee, where he showed his good striking and solid offensive wrestling game.

I'll go with Loosa as the underdog here. I see him keeping it close on the feet and mixing in takedowns and control to steal the fight.

Pick: Loosa O/U: Over 2.5 -210

Kennedy Nzechukwu -700 vs. Ovince St. Preux +500

In this big matchup, Light Heavyweight knockout artists will face off. Kennedy Nzechukwu is a powerful puncher who gets into crazy back-and-forth battles, and his lack of defense has caused him problems several times. Ovince St. Preux is a veteran who has shown devastating power over his career, although his best days are clearly behind him.

I've got Nzechukwu to get an early knockout here, as he is very powerful, and at this age, I don't trust St.Preux to take much damage.

Pick: Nzechukwu O/U: Under 1.5 -150


Christian Rodriguez +150 vs. Isaac Dulgarian -175

It's the best fight on the entire card here at Featherweight, featuring an undefeated prospect. Christian Rodriguez has moved up in weight here after having trouble with the scales lately; he is a slick grappler with decent boxing skills as well. Issac Dulgarian is a dominant finisher with an unbeaten record of all first-round stoppages using his ferocious wrestling attack.

I'm on Dulgarian here, as he has a chance to be special based on what he has shown so far with his incredible ground game and violent finishing instincts.

Pick: Dulgarian O/U: Under 2.5 -115

Pannie Kianzad +185 vs. Macy Chiasson -220

Bantamweights looking to push their way into contention will battle it out in this rematch from The Ultimate Fighter several years ago. Pannie Kianzad will look for revenge after being finished by Chiasson in their last matchup; she has lost two of her last three, with those two being top-ranked opposition. Macy Chiasson is a strong clinch grappler who makes her first appearance since being finished late in a fight she was winning over former title challenger Irene Aldana.

I'll pick Chiasson to get it done again, although I am not eager to bet on this matchup, with both fighters having been very inactive.

Pick: Chiasson O/U: Over 2.5 -360


Gerald Meerschaert -238 vs. Bryan Barberena +203

Middleweights with opposite styles will test them against one another here. Gerald Meerschaert is a very good submission grappler, although he is very slow on the feet and can struggle when he doesn't immediately get the fight to the ground. Bryan Barberena is a brawler with a high-volume boxing style, although his submission defense has been a serious issue, with him losing to grapplers in several recent outings.

Once this fight gets to the ground, Meerschaert will quickly find a finish; if it doesn't, he will likely be knocked out. Therefore, I like the under here, and my pick is Meerschaert by submission.

Pick: Meerschaert O/U: Under 2.5 -155

Mike Davis -420 vs. Natan Levy +320

This is a very fun clash at Lightweight between two high pace strikers. Mike Davis returns here, and many are excited to see him back, as he has a very exciting style, although he has struggled to stay active. Natan Levy is a clean kickboxer who has never been finished but has no finishes in the UFC, showing he doesn't fully commit to power striking.

My pick is Davis, but I'm not sure you can justify this price tag with the layoff, so I prefer the fight to go over in rounds. Levy has consistently gone to decision, and Davis' last two have also gone the distance.

Pick: Davis O/U: Over 2.5 -200


Josiane Nunes -147 vs. Chelsea Chandler +127

Bantamweights looking to make a name for themselves will square off here. Josiane Nunes is a short and powerful puncher with a big overhand coming in off three straight wins to start her UFC run, although it is against very low-level opposition. Chelsea Chandler will look to bounce back after a tough showing against Norma Dumont, where she was outmatched from the beginning.

I'll take Chandler here as she will also be the much larger fighter with a grappling advantage.

Pick: Chandler O/U: Over 2.5 -125

Ode Osbourne +133 vs. Jafel Filho -153

This matchup will be a clash of styles at Flyweight. Ode Osbourne is a tall, long guy with a flashy, striking style for the division, although he could be a more durable fighter, having been knocked out and submitted within his last three fights. Jafel Filho impressed many by making his debut against now-highly-ranked Muhammad Mokaev and nearly finishing him with a deep kneebar in the third round, showing his dangerous grappling skills.

I lean with Osbourne here as I give him a significant advantage in the striking and believe he can avoid grappling enough to get the job done.

Pick: Osbourne O/U: Over 2.5 +155


Josh Culibao -185 vs. Danny Silva +160

It should be an entertaining clash here at Featherweight. Josh Culibao is a long, tough striker who can use the ground attack, although he doesn't land many strikes. Danny Silva comes in off a very high volume showing on the Contender Series, where he left many impressed.

I like Silva here as he'll be the more offensive fighter in what should be primarily a striking battle.

Pick: Silva O/U: Over 2.5 -185

Cory McKenna -156 vs. Jaqueline Amorim +136

Strawweight grapplers square off in this interesting bout early on the card. Cory McKenna is a young but solid wrestler whose ground game has won her several fights, although she lacks physicality. Jaqueline Amorim is a talented submission artist who dominated her last fight over Monserrat Ruiz, showing her improved cardio by getting the finish late in the fight.

I'll pick McKenna here because I prefer the better control grappler in these matchups. I give her that edge because Amorim will be hunting submission over the position.

Pick: McKenna O/U: Over 2.5 -185


Thiago Moises -370 vs. Mitch Ramirez +295

A Lightweight veteran will test himself against a newcomer here early on the card. Thiago Moises is a solid veteran who has tested himself against the best in the division; although he hasn't had success against top opponents, he has proven to be a step above many unproven guys, using his strong submission game to finish many fights. Mitch Ramirez debuts here as a lethal finisher whose only loss is on the Contender Series to Carlos Prates, who is very good and up a weight class.

I'll take Moises to get a submission win here, with him being a clear level above Ramirez, who has yet to fight many high-level opponents.

Pick: Moises O/U: Under 1.5 +125

Chad Anheliger +145 vs. Charalampos Grigoriou -170

Bantamweights, open the card here with a fun matchup. Chad Anheliger is a tough striker looking to bounce back after back-to-back losses; he has solid cardio and volume but is not the most powerful puncher. Charalampos Grigoriou debuts here off a quick knockout on Dana White's Contender Series, where he showed the power in his punches, but he also has a very nice leg kick, which he has used to end several fights.

I lean towards Anheliger here as, despite his lack of success at this level, Grigoriou is not very good, and I'm surprised to see him favored here.

Pick: Anheliger O/U: Over 1.5 -200

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