Douglas Vegas Bets

Mario Bautista used his pace and pressure to take the decision in a very close fight against Jose Aldo on the UFC 307 main card.

## Result: Mario Bautista def. Jose Aldo via Split-Decision (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

The first round saw a lot of volume and some clinch control from Bautista, which got him off to a strong start. Round two saw Aldo do damage early with his jab and control the round with his striking. The final round had some back-and-forth striking but largely saw Bautista control the clinch to take the razor-close decision win.


>"He didn't get off the cage, not my problem" - Mario Bautista

What did you think of the fight? Let us know in the comments.

Mario Bautista Wins Split Decision Over Jose Aldo at UFC 307

It was all Jon Jones from start to finish in the UFC 309 Main Event as the Heavyweight Champion defended his title with a knockout victory over Stipe Miocic.

## Result: Jon Jones def. Stipe Miocic via 3rd Round TKO (4:29)

The first round saw Jones land a nice trip and follow up with devastating ground and pound that Miocic seemingly had no answer for. The second saw Jones control the striking with nasty body kicks and solid boxing. The third round saw more domination from Jones until he landed a beautiful spinning kick to the body, sending Miocic crumbling to the ground to end the fight.


>"If everything goes right, maybe we'll give you guys what you want to see" - Jon Jones

What do you think should be next for Jones? Let us know in the comments!

Jon Jones Dominates Stipe Miocic to Defend Title at UFC 309

It was a five-round battle, but Charles Oliveira came out on top again in the end, earning a unanimous decision win over Michael Chandler in the UFC 309 Co-Main Event.

## Result: Charles Oliveira def. Michael Chandler via Unanimous Decision (49-46, 49-46, 49-45)

The first four rounds were almost all Oliveira, as his grappling attack was just too much for Chandler, who was narrowly avoiding submissions the entire fight. The fifth round saw Chandler land a huge shot that wobbled Oliveira badly and nearly finished him with some ground and pound, although Oliveira survived to see the final bell.


>"He hits really hard" - Charles Oliveira

What did you think of the fight? Let us know in the comments!

Charles Oliveira Survives Late Scare to Win Decision at UFC 309

Bo Nickal took a big step up in competition when he took on Paul Craig on the UFC 309 main card, and despite having to go the distance for the first time in his career, he got the win to remain undefeated.

## Result: Bo Nickal def. Paul Craig via Unanimous Decision (30-27 x 3)

Surprisingly, the fight was a striking match between the two grapplers, with Nickal swinging a big overhand and blasting low kicks. After three somewhat competitive rounds, Nickal was given a unanimous decision, winning all three rounds on every card.


>"I felt incredible tonight" - Bo Nickal

What did you think of the performance of the undefeated prospect? Let us know in the comments!

Bo Nickal Wins Decision Over Paul Craig at UFC 309

The UFC returns to the iconic Madison Square Garden in New York City for the annual PPV with this year's edition headlined by a Heavyweight battle years in the making between champion Jon Jones and former champion Stipe Miocic. Also on the card is a rematch between former Lightweight champion Charles Oliveira and the always-exciting Michael Chandler! I went over those matchups and the rest of this stacked card to give my predictions and best bets, so let's get into it.

**Odds provided by DuelBits accurate as of 11/13/2024**

## Jon Jones -625 vs. Stipe Miocic +440

Two legends who have been on a collision course for many years will finally meet here for the Heavyweight title. Jon Jones has a reputation as the greatest of all time, and for a reason, he has a near-flawless game with crafty striking and dominant wrestling, although he is off yet another long layoff, which hasn't seemed to be much of an issue for him in the past. Stipe Miocic is back after a very long layoff since his brutal knockout loss to Francis Ngannou in their rematch. Still, when he was active, he was a very skilled boxer with a solid ground game that helped him win and defend the Heavyweight title, a record three times before winning it back and defending it another time.

I can't go against Jones here, as he should have a speed advantage on the feet and a wrestling edge. He also looks to have settled into his frame at this weight even more over the time off.

Prediction: Jones by Decision

## Charles Oliveira -256 vs. Michael Chandler +205

Two of the most exciting fighters on the roster face off for the second time in the Lightweight co-main event. Charles Oliveira is one of the most dangerous finishers the sport has ever seen, with world-class jiu-jitsu and knockout power that he displayed the first time these two fought when he landed a left hook and finished Chandler in the second round. Michael Chandler is a stocky and powerful wrestler with massive power in all his limbs, although he has been off for several years since his loss to Dustin Poirier.

The price makes it very tempting to pick Chandler, with their last matchup being lined very closely; however, factoring in Chandler's layoff and the strong recent form of Oliveira, I will pick a repeat of the first fight.

Prediction: Oliveira by 3rd Round Submission

## Bo Nickal -1111 vs. Paul Craig +680

One of the biggest prospects in the sport takes a massive step against a tricky veteran in this Middleweight clash. Bo Nickal looks to continue his rapid ascent through the ranks as the highly credentialed collegiate wrestler has finished each of his three UFC opponents with a mix of knockouts and submissions. Paul Craig has always been a very dangerous submission grappler with signature wins over Magomed Ankalaev and Jamahal Hill, among many other Light Heavyweight killers.

I'll pick Nickal here despite the odds being completely unplayable straight. His submission prop may have some value as that is how he earns most of his wins, and despite Craig's grappling background, he has been submitted several times.

Prediction: Nickal by 2nd Round Submission

## Karine Silva -263 vs. Viviane Araujo +210

A fast finisher who is unbeaten in the UFC takes on her toughest test yet here at Flyweight. Karine Silva has had a perfect four-fight start to the UFC, with three finishes in those wins, showing submission skills that this division has rarely seen. Viviane Araujo is a veteran who has fought many of the best in the division, although her late results have been very lackluster, with her clearly being a step behind the division's best at this stage in her career.

I'm picking Silva here as she has shown serious potential, while Araujo has seen her best days. Silva also holds the finishing upside, with Araujo being very little of a threat to end the fight.

Prediction: Silva by Decision

## Mauricio Ruffy -909 vs. James Llontop +560

This is a short-notice clash between exciting Lightweight strikers. Mauricio Ruffy is another fighting nerd who has caught the attention of many since his debut win over Jamie Mullarkey, where he landed many flashy strikes on his way to an early knockout win over the veteran. James Llontop enters this having lost his first two UFC fights, although, in his last performance, he showed his striking skills going to a close decision with the very skilled Viacheslav Borshchev.

This price is insane, so I feel like I have to pick Llontop, as there is no way I see Ruffy as a fighter with the skills to warrant this type of price, even against a short-notice opponent.

Prediction: Llontop by 2nd Round TKO

## Jonathan Martinez +112 vs. Marcus McGhee -137

Bantamweights on the rise go head to head, looking to move up in the rankings. Jonathan Martinez is a skilled striker with deadly leg kicks that have finished several UFC opponents, although when opponents can get inside, like Jose Aldo and Davey Grant, he can struggle. Marcus McGhee is a fast-paced brawler who has burst onto the scene, finishing his first three UFC fights inside two rounds with a mix of his relentless striking and opportunistic submission game.

I lean towards McGhee as he continually pushes his way inside, which could cause Martinez problems. However, Martinez is a much more experienced fighter with wins over higher-level opponents.

Prediction: McGhee by Decision

## Chris Weidman +101 vs. Eryk Anders -123

A former champion returns against a fellow veteran here at Middleweight. Chris Weidman is a gritty wrestler who worked hard to return from his gruesome leg injury several years ago. Eryk Anders is a tough veteran who has ground out some tough wins, including his last fight, where he came back against Jamie Pickett.

I'll go with Weidman as his wrestling is still good enough that he will have an advantage or, at the very least, be able to nullify Anders there, and the striking is close, but I give Weidman the edge after seeing Anders dropped in his last fight.

Prediction: Weidman by Decision

## Jim Miller +142 vs. Damon Jackson -175

Battle-tested Lightweights collide in this fun prelim clash. Jim Miller is one of the most experienced mixed martial artists alive, and he is still going strong, with this being his third fight of the year after two wars with Gabriel Benitez and Bobby Green, where he showed his well-rounded skill set and toughness. Damon Jackson moves up in weight here after losing three of his last four, showing solid grappling and decent volume striking, although little power.

I like Miller as the underdog in this one as I don't believe the move up in weight will help Jackson, who holds no clear advantages over Miller. 

Prediction: Miller by Decision

## Roberto Romero +650 vs. David Onama -1111

One of a few short-notice bouts goes down here at Featherweight. Roberto Romero steps in for his UFC debut here, having won three of his last four, including a nasty submission in his last fight. David Onama is a deadly striker who is very big for the division and showed a lot of improvement in his ground game against Jonathan Pearce in his last fight.

I'm picking Onama, but this one is an easy pass from a betting perspective as he has been put into tough grappling positions against guys like Garrett Armfield, which makes me hesitate about his skill set, especially at this price.

Prediction: Onama by 1st Round KO

## Marcin Tybura -149 vs. Jhonata Diniz +121

A dangerous newcomer on the rise meets a consistent veteran in this Heavyweight prelim. Marcin Tybura is a solid veteran who, somewhat surprisingly, had three straight fights that ended in the first round, which is interesting to me as I see his style is more of a grinding type rather than a finisher, as he has shown in his wins over Alexandr Romanov and Blagoy Ivanov. Jhonata Diniz is a dangerous striker who gets his big fight here after a late pullout from Derrick Lewis weeks ago, although his wrestling game is a real concern, as Austen Lane was able to control him for a round.

Tybura has an obvious path here if he can get this fight to the ground early, which he likely can, as Diniz has shown little to no ability to defend against a grappling attack the level of Tybura's.

Prediction: Tybura by 1st Round Submission

## Mickey Gall -139 vs. Ramiz Brahimaj +113

Welterweight grapplers square off here, looking to get back in the win column. Mickey Gall has been a grappler over most of his career, although after returning from injury against Bassil Hafez, he opted for a striking match where he showed some decent striking skills although some deficiencies on defense. Ramiz Brahimaj is a submission specialist coming into this after a terrible showing against Themba Gorimbo after returning from a scary injury that may have taken a lot out of him.

I like Gall here as he has the skills to match or beat Brahimaj on the ground and will be the better striker coming off a far more encouraging performance.

Prediction: Gall by Decision (Best Bet)

## Oban Elliott -256 vs. Bassil Hafez +205

Welterweights looking to establish their place in the division face off in this one. Oban Elliot enters this one having won his first two UFC fights, showing clear improvement from one win to the next, with his most recent performance being a very impressive win over Preston Parsons, where he dominated the striking for three rounds. Bassil Hafez is known for his gritty, short-notice war with Jack Della Maddalena, where he showed his wrestling and toughness, but he also has power and solid boxing, as he showed in his win over Mickey Gall earlier this year.

I'll go with Elliott here, although I don't have much confidence at this price as he will have the technical advantage; however, the punching power of Hafez and the image of Elliott hurt badly on Dana White's Contender Series gives me a lot of hesitation.

Prediction: Elliott by Decision

UFC 309 Odds Breakdown

The UFC is going up north this weekend with a fight night card from Rogers Place in Edmonton, Alberta, headlined by former Flyweight Champion Brandon Moreno taking on streaking contender Amir Albazi. I gave my predictions and best bets for that matchup and every other fight on the card so lets get into it.

**Odds provided by Duelbits accurate as of 11/1/2024**

## Brandon Moreno -169 vs. Amir Albazi +137

Fan favorite and former Flyweight champion takes on a rising contender in this fantastic main event. Brandon Moreno returns from a short break after his close loss to Brandon Royval earlier this year; he is a well-rounded fighter with solid boxing and a granite chin that has helped him claim UFC gold multiple times. Amir Albazi also returns from a layoff, although his was due to health issues after his controversial win over Kai Kara-France; he is a strong grappler with decent striking that features sneaky power.

I'll pick Albazi here as I see this being a very close fight on the scorecards, with the grappling of Albazi controlling some rounds and the striking of Moreno taking others, so I'll pick the underdog. However, I can't bet on him because I am concerned about his form coming off a severe injury.

Prediction: Albazi by Split-Decision

## Rose Namajunas +110 vs. Erin Blanchfield -135

A former champion and a rising star face off in the Flyweight co-main event. Rose Namajunas continues her run up in weight here after back-to-back wins over Amanda Ribas and Tracy Cortez; she won the Strawweight title twice with her powerful and technical striking, although she also has a solid wrestling attack. Erin Blanchfield returns after her first UFC loss this year, where Manon Fiorot outstruck her in a fight where she struggled to get her usually dominant wrestling game going.

I lean towards Blanchfield here as she is the much younger fighter, making her more likely to improve, and many have forgotten how dominant she has looked at times after her loss to a very good Manon Fiorot.

Prediction: Blanchfield by Decision

## Derrick Lewis +137 vs. Jhonata Diniz -169

Knockout punchers will throw down in this must-see Heavyweight clash. Derrick Lewis is the knockout king with the most in UFC history, showing his insane power, which has often made up for a lack of volume or technique throughout his career. Jhonata Diniz comes into this one undefeated in MMA with a kickboxing background that he has shown by finishing seven of his eight wins by knockout, although Austen Lane was able to have success wrestling against him.

I'll take the younger, less damaged guy in Diniz here, although if Lewis goes in with a wrestling-heavy game plan, I genuinely believe he can dominate Diniz there.

Prediction: Diniz by 1st Round KO

## Caio Machado -161 vs. Brendson Ribeiro +130

Light Heavyweights both badly in need of a win battle it out here. Caio Machado is a decently athletic striker who moves down in weight for this one after dropping his first few UFC fights. Brendson Ribeiro proved to be a dangerous finisher outside of the UFC, with all fifteen of his wins coming inside the distance, although that has yet to translate to UFC success, with him having lost his first two fights with the promotion.

I lean towards Machado as he may have more success at this weight, having faced much bigger opponents, although I have no interest in betting on this matchup.

Prediction: Machado by Decision

## Marc-Andre Barriault -208 vs. Dustin Stoltzfus +165

Gritty Middleweights will square off against one another in this one. Marc-Andre Barriault is a tough veteran with an in-your-face style that he uses to wear down his opponents. Dustin Stoltzfus is a solid grappler who is coming off a wild fight with Brunno Ferreira, where he took a lot of damage.

I'll take Barriault here as I see him being better than Stoltzfus everywhere and separating himself as the fight goes on.

Prediction: Barriault by Decision

## Mike Malott -286 vs. Trevin Giles +220

Welterweight finishers collide, looking to get back on track. Mike Malott is a dangerous finisher with a nasty submission game and knockout power that he showed against Mickey Gall, although his cardio is a major concern, with Neil Magny finishing him late his last time out. Trevin Giles is an experienced fighter with a strong jab, although his durability has become an issue, with him being finished in all six of his losses.

I like Malott to get this one done inside the distance as he will be the much better grappler, as he proved by beating Giles in a grappling match, and he could land a big shot in the striking to get a finish there as well.

Prediction: Malott by 1st Round Submission (Best Bet)

## Aiemann Zahabi -137 vs. Pedro Munhoz +112

Veteran Bantamweights will go head to head here in this fun matchup. Aiemann Zahabi comes into this on a four-fight win streak after losing his first two in the UFC, most recently showing his effective counter-striking game in a win over highly touted Javid Basharat. Pedro Munhoz is a durable veteran with a well-rounded game featuring a solid calf kick and guillotine.

I'll go with Munhoz here as, despite his rough stretch, he has proven he can still hang with the big names in the division, while Zahabi is not quite on that level, with him having only beaten low-level or unproven competition.

Prediction: Munhoz by Decision

## Charles Jourdain -133 vs. Victor Henry +109

High-pace strikers square off here at Bantamweight. Charles Jourdain moves down in weight for this one, which could benefit him as he will be very big for the weight and was already powerful at Featherweight, so if he carries the power and cardio down, I like the move. Victor Henry is a durable and high-output veteran with a solid submission game, although he lacks much power in his strikes, allowing opponents to hang around.

This will be a close fight, but I lean toward Jourdain as he is the more technical and powerful guy who can handle Henry's pressure and cardio.

Prediction: Jourdain by Decision

## Serhiy Sidey -147 vs. Garrett Armfield +119

Young Bantamweights look to make a name for themselves in this prelim clash. Serhiy Sidey returns here after a wild debut where he lost a close and controversial decision to Ramon Taveras in a fight where he showed his heart and cardio by maintaining a high output after taking lots of damage. Garrett Armfield is a solid boxer with good power, although his submission defense and cardio are both questionable and cost him the fight against Brady Hiestand.

I lean towards Sidey here, with his size and cardio advantages playing a big factor, with him likely taking rounds two and three if the fight gets there.

Prediction: Sidey by 3rd Round TKO

## Chad Anheliger +160 vs. Cody Gibson -204

Veteran Bantamweights go head-to-head here early on the card. Chad Anheliger is a tough striker who has shown the ability to keep a solid pace and grind out fights over his UFC run. Cody Gibson is a long fighter for the weight with a very offensive game that includes good boxing and a solid submission attack, as he showed his last time out with a first-round finish of Brian Kelleher.

I like Gibson here as he can match the pace of Anheliger and use his length to win the striking with the option of mixing in the grappling as well.

Prediction: Gibson by Decision

## Jack Shore +245 vs. Youssef Zalal -313

Featherweights with a lot of potential will clash here to open the card. Jack Shore is a talented grappler, although he lacks much strength at this weight and can get beat up in the striking, as was the case against Ricky Simon and Joanderson Brito. Youssef Zalal has looked fantastic since returning to the UFC, showing a deadly submission attack and damaging striking in his two recent finish wins.

I'll pick Zalal here as the grappling could end up close enough to cancel out, and Zalal will have a big edge in the striking, where I see him doing much more damage.

Prediction: Zalal by 3rd Round TKO

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi Odds Breakdown

ROUNDHOUSE MMA

Did Khamzat Chimaev just steal a title shot away from Sean Strickland? That seems to be the overall theme amongst MMA fans following Chimaev's domination of Robert Whittaker on Saturday which took him just three minutes and 34 seconds. 

To get you up to speed, Sean Strickland defeated Paulo Costa back in June, and Dricus Du Plessis submitted Israel Adesanya in August. The two seemed on a collision course to meet again. Instead of taking on another contender, Strickland opted to wait for a title shot, which now may not look like the best idea. Recency bias is key in mixed martial arts, and Khamzat Chimaev may have just earned himself a crack at Dricus Du Plessis. 

So, what is next for Chimaev and Whittaker? Let's talk about it here. 

As I said previously, recency bias is crucial in mixed martial arts. Consider Dricus Du Plessis-Sean Strickland II cancelled. Khamzat Chimaev's win over Robert Whittaker was dominant and terrifying and gave the UFC and its fans enough ammunition to promote and build a fight between Du Plessis and Chimaev. Now 14-0, Chimaev is the boogeyman this Middleweight division needs, and if he can defeat Du Plessis and win the title, the UFC will have a megastar on their hands. 

In terms of Robert Whittaker, he suffered a major injury to his jaw during the fight. Hopefully, this doesn't keep him out of action too long, but when he can return, I'd like to see him booked against Sean Strickland. With the title shot going to Chimaev, Strickland will have paid the price for attempting to wait for a rematch with Du Plessis. Both men can quickly get back into the title picture with a win. 

Think Khamzat Chimaev and Robert Whittaker should fight someone else? Let us know in the comments. 

What's Next For Khamzat Chimaev and Robert Whittaker?

Shara "Bullet" Magomedov remained undefeated with a knockout win after a fun fight with Armen Petrosyan to open the UFC 308 main card.

Result: Shara Magomedov def. Armen Petrosyan via 2nd Round KO (4:52)
## 
The fight saw the two men kick each other's legs and trade boxing combos through a close first round, with Magomedov gaining momentum late. That momentum carried into round two, where Magomedov began to time his punches, landing big counter rights repeatedly. Near the end of round two, Magomedov missed on a spinning back fist but threw another back fist as he turned back around. The second strike connected and knocked Petrosyan down and out.


>"I smash Israel Adesanya" - Shara Magomedov

What did you think of Magomedov's performance? Let us know in the comments!

Shara Magomedov Scores Highlight Knockout at UFC 308

After an early knockdown made it seem like it wouldn't be his night, Lerone Murphy was able to rally late to win the last two rounds and take a decision over Dan Ige on the UFC 308 main card.

Result: Lerone Murphy def. Dan Ige via Unanimous Decision (29-28 x 3) 

The first round saw Ige come out very aggressive and use his big power to back Murphy up before landing a huge shot that sent Murphy to the floor and nearly had him finished. Murphy survived and used his striking at a distance to take a close second round and even up the fight going into the final frame. Ige was able to secure some top time, but with just over a minute left, Murphy reversed him and landed some big shots to steal momentum and eventually the fight.

"I want someone in that top ten" - Lerone Murphy

What did you think of Murphy's performance? Let us know in the comments!

Lerone Murphy Comes Back to Take Close Fight With Dan Ige at UFC 308

Magomed Ankalaev secured a decision victory over Aleksandar Rakic on the main card at UFC 308. With this win, he expects to be next in line for a shot at the Light Heavyweight title.

## Result: Magomed Ankalaev def. Aleksandar Rakic via Unanimous Decision (29-28 x 3) 

Rakic started the fight strong with a very kick-heavy attack that helped him win the first round in most people's eyes. The second round saw the damage mount on Rakic as Ankalaev began to take over the fight with his constant forward pressure. The final round saw more pressure from Ankalaev before a late grappling attack from Rakic, which was not very successful, although it confused some people as it was an odd strategic choice.


>"Alex, stop running away from me" - Magomed Ankalaev

What did you think of the fight? Let us know in the comments!

Magomed Ankalaev Calls For Title Shot After UFC 308 Win

It was an incredible fight while it lasted, but in the end, Ilia Topuria was able to defend his Featherweight title with a knockout win over Max Holloway in the UFC 308 Main Event.

## Result: Ilia Topuria def. Max Holloway via 3rd Round KO (1:34) 

The fight saw a lot of back and forth from the first round, with the story being the volume of Holloway against the power of Topuria, with both having their moments through two rounds. The third round saw Topuria begin to land big shots more frequently, eventually rocking Holloway badly and beginning to unload before finding a nasty left hook that sent Holloway to the canvas, where Topuria quickly jumped on him to finish becoming the first to ever knockout Max Holloway.


>"To beat a legend like Max Holloway, I can't believe it" - Ilia Topuria

What did you think of the fight? Let us know in the comments!