Dana White's Contender Series 2025: Week 4 Odds Breakdown

Dana White's Contender Series 2025: Week 4 Odds Breakdown

Douglas Vegas Bets|
September 02, 2025|
2

It's week four of the 2025 season of Dana White's Contender Series, and after two straight cards that saw every winner receive a contract, the fighters here have a tough act to follow. I went over every matchup on tomorrow's card to give my predictions and bets, so let's get into it.

Odds provided by Duelbits accurate as of 9/2/2025

Jack Congdon +300 vs. Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani -435

Welterweights square off in the feature bout of the night. Jack Congdon is a finisher who loads up with his hands and has a good rear-naked choke, although he hasn't faced much tough competition and was finished in his only fight that reached the third round. Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani is a dangerous fighter with a well-rounded offensive game, as he has shown good hands, and his grappling game has helped him secure five submission wins in just ten fights.

I'm picking Lebosnoyani as he is the much faster fighter on the feet with a better ground game, and he is more defensively responsible while having faced tougher opposition.

Prediction: Lebosnoyani by 2nd Round Submission

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Theo Haig +250 vs. Cezary Oleksiejczuk -323

Clash of styles here in this interesting fight at Middleweight. Theo Haig is a submission grappler who works quickly, with all six of his career fights ending within two rounds, although he hasn't shown much in terms of striking. Cezary Oleksiejczuk is the brother of UFC fighter Michal Oleksiejczuk and shares a similar style, characterized by sharp boxing skills, good experience, and real knockout power.

I'll go with Oleksiejczuk here, as he is the cleaner striker with more professional experience. However, I am not incredibly confident in this one as Haig's grappling could cause some issues.

Prediction: Oleksiejczek by 2nd Round TKO

Mandel Nallo +110 vs. Samuel Silva -135

Phenomenal matchup of always exciting Lightweights goes down here. Mandel Nallo is a wild fighter who has never gone the distance in his career, and it's easy to see why, as he is very willing to eat a shot to land one of his own, and he has a solid submission attack. Samuel Silva is an aggressive and well-rounded fighter who comes in off an impressive five-round performance against George Hardwick.

I lean Silva here as I see him being the more physically strong fighter, and he is coming off a very high-level win, which gives him a lot of momentum.

Prediction: Silva by 3rd Round TKO

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Eduardo Henrique -143 vs. An Tuan Ho +117

Hard-hitting Flyweights collide here in what should be an incredible fight while it lasts. Eduardo Henrique was a competitor on the last season of the Ultimate Fighter and is a powerful striker who comes in with three straight knockouts and a wealth of experience in the LFA, including several five-round fights. An Tuan Ho looks for redemption here after losing to Lone'er Kavanagh his first time on the show; however, he remains just twenty-four years old with dangerous switch stance striking.

I like Ho in this one, as both men are explosive strikers, but Ho is the younger fighter who will have higher output and has the grappling upside in this matchup.

Prediction: Ho by 1st Round KO Bet: Ho Moneyline

Tommy McMillen +148 vs. David Mgoyan -182

Young Featherweights open the card in a fun matchup. TommyMcMillen has plenty of eyes on him this week as a dangerous submission grappler who has worked on his striking with Sean O'Malley's head coach, Tim Welch, which has helped him reach eight wins, all coming in the first round. David Mgoyan is a young fighter with strong wrestling skills coming from American Top Team.

I'll pick Mgoyan here as he has faced tougher competition, gone deeper in fights, and shown a well-rounded game while still making clear improvements.

Prediction: Mgoyan by Decision