Odds provided by DuelBits accurate as of 3/19/2024

Leon Edwards +134 vs. Sean Brady -164

Title implications loom large as these two Welterweights each hunt a rematch with the champion, Belal Muhammad. Leon Edwards is a very technically sharp kickboxer with weapons he uses well at all distances, although his wrestling and output were not good enough to slow Belal Muhammad in his last fight. Sean Brady is a strong wrestler with good submission skills, which he showed against Kelvin Gastelum, and decent boxing, coming off a strong five-round performance against Gilbert Burns.

I'll go with Brady, as I believe he can get his grappling going consistently and control Edwards on the ground or against the cage enough to get a decision win.

Prediction: Brady by Decision

Jan Blachowicz +225 vs. Carlos Ulberg -294

Hard-hitting Light Heavyweights square off in this high-stakes co-main event. Jan Blachowicz is a former champion who has shown a powerful and skillful striking attack along with solid offensive wrestling, although he is forty-two, returning from a long layoff after a bad shoulder injury. Carlos Ulberg is a skilled kickboxer out of the famed City Kickboxing gym who comes in on a seven-fight win streak, with five coming by finish, including a twelve-second knockout of Alonzo Menifield.

I like Ulberg in this one, as he is the younger fighter who has been much more active, while I have a hard time seeing Blachowicz return to form with his injury history.

Prediction: Ulberg by Decision

Kevin Holland +103 vs. Gunnar Nelson -127

The classic striker vs. grappler matchup goes down here at Welterweight. Kevin Holland is a dangerous striker with solid submission skills, especially in this weight class, when he is less likely to be overpowered in wrestling. Gunnar Nelson is a skilled grappler with basic karate-style striking who has had trouble staying active, with just two fights since 2018, although he did win both comfortably against Takashi Sato and Bryan Barberena.

I lean towards Holland here as he has been the much more active fighter with a massive striking advantage, and his struggles in the grappling have all been a weight class up.

Prediction: Holland by 1st Round KO

Molly McCann +150 vs. Alexia Thainara -189

Short notice replacement steps in here to keep a fan favorite Strawweight on the card. Molly McCann is a veteran striker who gained fame with her signature spinning elbow knockout over Luana Carolina, although her grappling has been a weak point, with her suffering three submission losses in the UFC. Alexia Thainara is a dangerous submission grappler who makes her debut here with nine straight wins, including a decision win on Dana White's Contender Series in her most recent outing.

I'll pick Thainara here as I see her grappling giving McCann problems, although, with the short notice in McCann's home country, this fight is a pass.

Prediction: Thainara by 1st Round Submission

Jordan Vucenic -400 vs. Chris Duncan +300

Exciting Lightweights looking to make a name for themselves go head-to-head in this one. Jordan Vucenic is a well-rounded prospect coming in off a debut where, despite losing to Guram Kutateladze, he looked fantastic considering the short notice and level of his opponents, who he dropped in the first round. Chris Duncan is a gritty wrestler with a powerful right hand, although his defense and durability are concerning.

I see Vucenic getting a finish in this one, as he is a much faster and more well-rounded fighter who has faced tougher competition and had success doing so.

Prediction: Vucenic by 1st Round KO

Nathaniel Wood +132 vs. Morgan Charriere -161

Featherweights with high ceilings square off to open the main card here. Nathaniel Wood is a boxer with fast hands who has won four of his last five since moving up in weight despite getting rocked in several fights against Andre Fili and Muhammad Naimov. Morgan Charriere is a measured and skilled striker with eye-catching speed and experience against high-level competition in Paul Hughes, Chepe Mariscal, and Jordan Vucenic.

I'll go with Charriere here, as I believe he is the cleaner striker with fewer defensive concerns in a close matchup.

Prediction: Charriere by 2nd Round TKO

Jai Herbert -115 vs. Chris Padilla -106

Lightweights looking to build momentum face off in this featured prelim. Jai Herbert is a tall striker who uses his length well to keep opponents at range, as he did with Rolando Bedoya in his last fight. Chris Padilla is a tough finisher who comes in off back-to-back comeback wins where he was seemingly falling behind before landing a big shot on his opponent.

I'll take Herbert in this one, as he is the longer fighter who has proven he can win minutes against UFC competition, which we have yet to see Padilla do.

Prediction: Herbert by Decision

Lone'er Kavanagh -313 vs. Felipe dos Santos +245

Young and exciting Flyweights square off in this fun prelim matchup. Lone'er Kavanagh is an undefeated prospect with plenty of hype coming from his fast and clean striking, which he showed in his debut win over Jose Ochoa. Felipe dos Santos is a classic Chute Boxe fighter with a highly aggressive style of volume striking and solid submission skills, although he has been controlled on the ground at times.

I bet dos Santos at these odds, as he is the bigger fighter who is going to be pushing the pace and has experience against tougher competition.

Prediction: dos Santos by 3rd Round Submission

Marcin Tybura +101 vs. Mick Parkin -123

Ranked Heavyweights collide here in this high-stakes clash. Marcin Tybura is a well-rounded veteran with decent striking and wrestling, although he is not great anywhere. Mick Parkin is an undefeated prospect coming off his first UFC finish, where he showed his boxing skills are a level above the lower tier of the division with his fourth straight win in the promotion.

I lean towards Tybura, as he has faced better competition and shown a more well-rounded game, although the age difference is a concern.

Prediction: Tybura by Decision

Andrey Pulyaev +420 vs. Christian Leroy Duncan -588

Dangerous finishers face off in this Middleweight matchup. Andrey Pulyaev is a well-rounded finisher with a very aggressive style who makes his UFC debut here off an impressive decision win on Dana White's Contender Series. Christian Leroy Duncan is an explosive and athletic striker who has shown improvement since joining the UFC but remains a bit raw on the technical side.

I'll pick CLD in this one, as he is the more proven fighter with less durability concerns.

Prediction: Duncan by 2nd Round TKO

Shauna Bannon -179 vs. Puja Tomar +146

Two Strawweights looking to build momentum face off in this prelim clash. Shauna Bannon is a solid striker who is coming off her first UFC win, where she showed the ability to manage distance with her kickboxing background. Puja Tomar is a high-volume kickboxer who won a controversial decision in her debut, although she has been finished in all four of her losses, which is a massive concern.

I lean towards Bannon here as she has the size and style to keep Tomar at range.

Prediction: Bannon by Decision

Caolan Loughran -101 vs. Nathan Fletcher -122

A rematch from back in their amateur days goes down here at Bantamweight. Caolan Loughran is a stocky wrestler with decent boxing, as he showed in his win over Angel Pacheco, although he is rather hittable. Nathan Fletcher is a grappler who comes in off the last season of The Ultimate Fighter, where he was eliminated early by Kaan Ofli when he struggled to get his grappling going.

I bet Loughran, as he has the UFC experience and is the much better striker while being able to match Fletcher on the ground. With that, Caolan Loughran Moneyline is the Underdog best bet of the week.

Prediction: Loughran by Decision (Best Bet)

Guram Kutateladze -455 vs. Kaue Fernandes +330

Exciting strikers open the card here at Lightweight. Guram Kutateladze is a very skilled kickboxer who showed his well-roundedness in his last fight, where he used his wrestling to come back from early adversity against Jordan Vucenic. Kaue Fernandes is a striker with fast and powerful kicks, although he has shown a weakness in his ground game, being held down by Marc Diakiese in his debut.

Kutateladze should handle business here, as he has the striking to win there but also has a massive advantage on the ground, which he has shown he is not shy about using.

Prediction: Kutateladze by Decision