Odds provided by Duelbits accurate as of 7/7/2025

Derrick Lewis +215 vs. Tallison Teixeira -270

Heavyweights headline here in a matchup almost certain not to last all five rounds. Derrick Lewis has long been known for his insane knockout power, which has often made up for a lack of technical skill. Tallison Teixeira takes a massive jump in competition here after showing his fast finishing skills translated to the UFC when he finished his debut against Justin Tafa in just thirty-five seconds.

I'll take Teixeira to get another finish in this one, as he may not have the experience of Lewis, but his physical advantages, combined with Lewis inevitably slowing down with age, make me like Teixeira more here.

Prediction: Teixeira by 1st Round KO

Stephen Thompson +300 vs. Gabriel Bonfim -400

Clash of styles sees a veteran battle with a fast-rising prospect here at Welterweight. Stephen Thompson is a highly skilled kickboxer who has consistently looked much faster than his opponents on the feet, even in his forties, although his durability has diminished, and he has struggled to defend against grappling as he once did. Gabriel Bonfim is a dangerous finisher who has demonstrated a submission game that can end things quickly, and against Ange Loosa, he appeared to have overcome the cardio issue that cost him the fight against Nicolas Dalby.

I see Bonfim securing a submission win here, as he has a massive advantage in grappling, and he has shown he can submit good defensive grapplers before, as he just became the first to finish Khaos Williams by submission in his last fight.

Prediction: Bonfim by 1st Round Submission

Calvin Kattar +100 vs. Steve Garcia -122

Featherweight strikers look to put on a show in this can't-miss matchup. Calvin Kattar is a tough and skilled striker who has shown that he has a nasty side if a fight gets dirty, as was the case against Giga Chikadze and Max Holloway, both of which were five-round wars. Steve Garcia is a dangerous striker who hunts the finish early, but often leaves himself open to taking big shots as well, which has led to him being finished by lower-level competition in the past.

I took Kattar as the slight underdog here, as despite his recent results, he has proven to be more durable and defensively responsible than Garcia while still carrying similar knockout power that has been proven against tougher competition.

Prediction: Kattar by 2nd Round TKO

Nate Landwehr +205 vs. Morgan Charriere -263

A fun matchup here at Featherweight, as a fan favourite looks to get back on track. Nate Landwehr is a gritty fighter with a high pace and well-rounded skills, although his defense is not great, and he is now thirty-seven, having taken a lot of damage. Morgan Charriere is a skilled striker who attacks the body well, especially with his kicks, and has gained valuable experience from his days in Cage Warriors, having fought notable opponents like Paul Hughes and Jordan Vucenic.

Charriere should take this one, as he is the younger guy with much cleaner and more effective striking, who is also strong enough in grappling to determine where this fight will take place comfortably.

Prediction: Charriere by Decision

Vitor Petrino -714 vs. Austen Lane +480

Heavyweights looking to find their footing square off in this one. Vitor Petrino makes the move up in weight here after struggling against tougher competition at Light Heavyweight despite showing good power in his hands and some offensive grappling skill. Austen Lane is an athletic guy for his weight, with a solid wrestling attack, although he doesn't take damage well, often going down from one big shot.

At some point, Petrino is likely to land a knockout blow and finish Lane here; however, this price is far too much to consider betting after some of the recent stunts we have seen from Petrino.

Prediction: Petrino by 1st Round TKO

Junior Tafa -169 vs. Tuco Tukkos +139

Finishers collide in this fun Light Heavyweight showdown. Junior Tafa is a hard-hitting kickboxer with real knockout power, although his game lacks much technique, which has often left him falling behind opponents when he can't land early. Tuco Tukkos is a brawler who looks for his first UFC win here after coming up short against tough prospects Navajo Stirling and Oumar Sy, which exposed some issues with his ground game and ability to compete with high-level strikers.

I lean towards Tafa here, as he is younger and much more dangerous, but I don't have much confidence in him, given how poorly his grappling has looked at times.

Prediction: Tafa by 1st Round KO

Chris Curtis -313 vs. Max Griffin +245

Veteran Welterweights square off in this fun prelim matchup. Chris Curtis moves back down to this weight for the first time in his UFC career here after having some success against tough competition with his slick boxing and strong takedown defence. Max Griffin is a tough, hard-hitting boxer who has proven he can be a tough test on the feet for anyone, as he was for contender Michael Morales not long ago.

I'm going with Griffin at these odds, as he has proven himself to be a tough out for any striker at this weight. Curtis, meanwhile, struggled when cutting this much before the UFC, when he was much younger, which raises questions about the logic behind the move down in weight.

Prediction: Griffin by Decision

Jake Matthews +124 vs. Chidi Njokuani -152

Welterweights looking to extend their win streaks clash here. Jake Matthews is a well-rounded fighter with a wealth of experience, although he often leans on his boxing alone in fights where he has advantages in other areas. Chidi Njokuani is a tall and powerful striker with good kicks and elbows; however, he can be low-volume at times, and his cardio at this weight is a concern.

I've got Matthews as the underdog here, as he is much younger, yet still has more experience. Additionally, I believe he'll be the higher-volume fighter as the fight progresses, thanks to his clear cardio advantage, and he has all the grappling upside. With that, Jake Matthews is this week's Underdog Best Bet of the Week.

Prediction: Matthews by Decision (Best Bet)

Lauren Murphy +440 vs. Eduarda Moura -625

Former title challenger returns here to face an up-and-coming finisher at Flyweight. Lauren Murphy is a tough veteran with a well-rounded game who returns here after more than two years since the last time she entered the octagon. Eduarda Moura looks to build off her first UFC win here after she moved up in weight and used her strong ground game to beat Veronica Hardy last November.

I'll pick Moura here, as she has proven to be a solid prospect, and I don't have high hopes for what we'll get from Lauren Murphy after such a long layoff, now that she is over forty years old.

Prediction: Moura by Decision

Kennedy Nzechukwu -213 vs. Valter Walker +170

Heavyweights looking to push their way into the wide-open rankings collide here. Kennedy Nzechukwu is a big striker who comes in having finished his first two fights at this weight, both by first-round knockout. Valter Walker also comes in having finished his last two fights in the first round, although he submitted both of his opponents with his now signature heel hook.

I lean towards Nzechukwu in this one, as I feel he is athletic enough to defend takedowns and is the much better striker, with more high-level experience.

Prediction: Nzechukwu by Decision

Mike Davis -1000 vs. Mitch Ramirez +600

Lightweights looking to get back in the win column face off in this one. Mike Davis is a well-rounded athlete with explosive striking and high-level grappling who has been in some real wars, although his game plan against Fares Ziam looked awful, which raises some concerns. Mitch Ramirez comes in with a crazy story as a good boxer with strong leg kicks, although he has struggled against higher-level competition, having been finished by Thiago Moises and Carlos Prates in his toughest fights.

I like Davis to find a submission win here, as he has been working more with his grappling lately, and Ramirez hasn't faced a submission threat of this level.

Prediction: Davis by 2nd Round Submission

Fatima Kline -1667 vs. Melissa Martinez +860

A top prospect at Strawweight gets another chance to showcase her skills here. Fatima Kline is a skilled and dangerous striker who comes in off her first UFC win, where she finished Victoria Dudakova in the second round with ground and pound, showcasing a well-rounded game. Melissa Martinez is also a striker coming off her first UFC win, although she has not shown that she struggles with grapplers as she did in her last fight before the UFC against Desiree Yanez.

Kline is going to dominate here, as she has proven her striking to be sharp and dangerous, even against top-level competition, along with having a massive grappling advantage in this matchup.

Prediction: Kline by 3rd Round TKO