Odds provided by Duelbits accurate as of 9/11/2025

Diego Lopes +190 vs. Jean Silva -244

Fast finishers square off in our Featherweight main event. Diego Lopes is a well-rounded finisher with nasty submissions and serious power that he utilizes effectively on the inside, particularly with his clinch uppercuts, he also now has five-round experience following his decision loss to champion Alexander Volkanovski. Jean Silva is a tank with a strong build and serious power, which he has shown by defending, grappling, and dominating Bryce Mitchell, Drew Dober, and Charles Jourdain.

I like Silva to get the win here as he is strong and smart enough to avoid grappling with Lopes, and he is the more skilled and dangerous striker, which leads me to believe he will do enough damage to find a knockout finish over five rounds in this one.

Prediction: Silva by 2nd Round TKO

Rob Font -133 vs. David Martinez +109

Fun matchup of dangerous strikers here in the Bantamweight co-main event. Rob Font is a tough veteran with excellent boxing skills, although he has taken a lot of damage over the years and shown questionable grappling defence. David Martinez steps in on short notice to take a significant leap in competition as a striker, boasting very good movement and knockout power, although he lacks high-level experience, despite having competed in five-round fights before.

I'm taking Martinez here, as I see him as the more durable fighter, and I love that he is eleven years younger, giving him a significant youth advantage against Font, who is favored for the first time since fighting Deiveson Figueiredo in 2023. With that, David Martinez is this week's Underdog Best Bet of the Week.

Prediction: Martinez by Decision Bet: Martinez MoneyLine (Best Bet)

Jared Gordon -238 vs. Rafa Garcia +190

Lightweights looking to build off recent victories square off here. Jared Gordon is a perpetually underrated fighter with high-level boxing and good physicality in the clinch. Rafa Garcia is a solid grappler with decent boxing, although when facing fighters with competent wrestling, he has struggled, and he lacks much finishing ability at the UFC level.

I like Gordon here as he is the much better striker and can comfortably defend the wrestling of Garcia.

Prediction: Gordon by Decision

Kelvin Gastelum -238 vs. Dustin Stoltzfus +185

Experienced matchup here at Middleweight. Kelvin Gastelum is a durable and high-paced striker who has competed with the top of the division for a long time. Dustin Stoltzfus is a well-rounded fighter with solid boxing and submission skills, although he has struggled to get his footing in the UFC.

Gastelum should take this one as he will be the much higher output and more dangerous striker who is used to facing much tougher competition.

Prediction: Gastelum by Decision

Alexander Hernandez -105 vs. Carlos Diego Ferreira -115

Dangerous Lightweight veterans collide in this fun matchup. Alexander Hernandez is an explosive wrestler who reminded everyone of the power he carries with his knockout of Chase Hooper. Carlos Diego Ferreira is a tricky fighter with slick grappling and dangerous striking, which he used to knock out Michael Johnson.

I lean towards Hernandez here as he is the younger fighter who is more likely to mix in the wrestling and has the power to test the durability of the forty-year-old CDF.

Prediction: Hernandez by Decision

Santiago Luna -137 vs. Quang Le +112

Featherweights open the main card. Santiago Luna makes his debut here as an undefeated finisher who has ended all six of his professional fights inside the distance. Quang Le is a well-rounded fighter who showed off his skills on the ground against Gaston Bolanos in his last fight, although his defensive striking is still somewhat concerning.

I'll go with Le here, as he is the more experienced fighter who has fully developed his game, while Luna is so young at just twenty-one years old, it is hard to imagine he is anywhere near fully developed.

Prediction: Le by Decision

Jose Medina +290 vs. Dusko Todorovic -385

Two Middleweights in desperate need of a win face off in this one. Jose Medina is a durable scrapper who appears to have gotten into better shape since joining the UFC, although he has yet to show much of an offensive skillset. Dusko Todorovic is a solid kickboxer who has had issues with durability at times, although he has faced a tough schedule in the UFC.

I'll pick Todorovic, as he is the much better offensive fighter who will likely win the minutes in this fight. However, given the durability difference, this fight is a clear pass at these odds.

Prediction: Todorovic by Decision

Claudio Pulles -120 vs. Joaquim Silva -102

Matchup of veterans here at Lightweight. Claudio Pulles is a dangerous submission grappler who specifically loves the kneebar, although after some struggles against Dan Hooker, he did seem to round out his game against Fares Ziam. Joaquim Silva is a striker with solid power in his hands, but he doesn't keep the highest pace and has questionable durability.

I lean towards Pulles here as he is the younger and longer fighter with the grappling upside here.

Prediction: Pulles by Decision

Tatiana Suarez -476 vs. Amanda Lemos +350

Top contenders meet in this Strawweight clash of styles. Tatiana Suarez is a dominant wrestler with a nasty submission game from top position, but she is coming in off a loss to Weili Zhang for the title, where she took significant damage. Amanda Lemos is a dangerous striker with serious power in her hands and kicks, although she has struggled with grappling at times, like her submission loss to Jessica Andrade and her loss to Weili Zhang.

Suarez should be able to get her wrestling going in this one, as Lemos is now thirty-eight years old, leading me to believe that significant improvement from her in that area is unlikely.

Prediction: Suarez by Decision

Jesus Aguilar +185 vs. Luis Gurule -233

Dangerous Flyweights square off, looking to get back in the win column here. Jesus Aguilar is a dangerous finisher who has shown he has a dangerous guillotine choke and some pop in his hands, although his wins are all against lower-level opposition. Luis Gurule is a high-volume striker who stays in opponents' faces the entire fight, but he is coming off a knockout loss in his debut against Ode Osbourne.

I'm going with Gurule here, as he is the fighter with the higher output who maintains it later into the fight, and I am not confident in Aguilar's ability to secure an early finish.

Prediction: Gurule by Decision

Zach Reese -250 vs. Sedriques Dumas +195

Athletic Middleweight finishers collide in this one. Zach Reese is a big and powerful fighter who also holds a dangerous submission game, although his defence and technique have been issues for him so far in his UFC run. Sedriques Dumas is a decently well-rounded fighter with solid kickboxing and wrestling that he has used to win several UFC fights, although he struggles with physicality and doesn't react well to taking damage.

I see Reese landing something big on the feet or snatching an early submission on the ground here as his early onslaught will be too much for Dumas.

Prediction: Reese by 1st Round Submission

Alessandro Costa -455 vs. Alden Coria +330

This is a fun Flyweight matchup here on the prelims. Alessandro Costa is a skilled and dangerous striker who showed his leg kicks in a finish over Kevin Borjas last year. Alden Coria makes his debut here as an aggressive fighter with relentless takedowns and powerful striking to go with it, although his defense and competition level leave some to be desired.

I'm taking Costa to get a finish in this one, as he is the more defensively responsible fighter, while having proven his finishing skills at a higher level.

Prediction: Costa by 3rd Round TKO

Alice Pereira -154 vs. Montserrat Rendon +126

Bantamweights with a large gap in age and experience between them clash here. Alice Pereira is a young prospect who comes in having shown very little, although she appears to be a skilled striker with solid power. Montserrat Rendon is a strong wrestler with solid experience, although she lacks much finishing threat, with all of her pro fights having gone to decision.

I lean towards Rendon here, as although she is at an age disadvantage, she has the grappling and cardio to test Pereira in ways she hasn't faced yet, and with this being her debut, I like plus money against the uncertainty.

Prediction: Rendon by Decision

Rodrigo Sezinado +185 vs. Daniil Donchenko -227

After a slight delay, the Welterweight finale of The Ultimate Fighter takes place here. Rodrigo Sezinado made his way to the final, utilizing his strong grappling game and basic striking, which allows him to work effectively from the top position. Daniil Donchenko is a dangerous striker with a wide arsenal of weapons at his disposal, although his tendency to brawl sometimes brings him down to the level of his competition.

I'll pick Donchenko here as I see him being the much more dangerous fighter who will be creating more damage and is more likely to find the finish.

Prediction: Donchenko by 2nd Round TKO